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icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ?

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ?

icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ?

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ?

1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$ 53%

1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$ 28%

1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$ 14.1%

<1,017 M $ 4.7%

Polymarket

$56,782 Vol.

1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$ 53%

1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$ 28%

1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$ 14.1%

<1,017 M $ 4.7%

Polymarket

$56,782 Vol.

<1,017 M $

$1,561 Vol.

5%

1,017 M$ - 1,053 M$

$2,752 Vol.

2%

1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$

$8,815 Vol.

28%

1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$

$27,143 Vol.

53%

1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$

$13,108 Vol.

14%

1,161 M$ - 1,196 M$

$1,546 Vol.

3%

1,196 M$+

$1,858 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes in the Miami market, contributing to flat-to-slightly softer median home values amid rising inventory and extended days-on-market. Recent Redfin and Zillow data through mid-2026 show overall prices essentially unchanged year-over-year, with sales activity rising modestly but list prices reflecting slower appreciation as migration inflows moderate. Traders appear to price in limited near-term upside through September 30, concentrating implied probabilities in the $1.053M–$1.125M range while assigning low odds to sharp moves, consistent with stable but constrained housing fundamentals and the absence of major policy easing.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$56,782
Date de fin
30 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes in the Miami market, contributing to flat-to-slightly softer median home values amid rising inventory and extended days-on-market. Recent Redfin and Zillow data through mid-2026 show overall prices essentially unchanged year-over-year, with sales activity rising modestly but list prices reflecting slower appreciation as migration inflows moderate. Traders appear to price in limited near-term upside through September 30, concentrating implied probabilities in the $1.053M–$1.125M range while assigning low odds to sharp moves, consistent with stable but constrained housing fundamentals and the absence of major policy easing.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$56,782
Date de fin
30 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)

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Questions fréquentes

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$ » à 53%, suivi de « 1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$ » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ? » a généré $56.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ? » est « 1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$ » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$ » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.