Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes in the Miami market, contributing to flat-to-slightly softer median home values amid rising inventory and extended days-on-market. Recent Redfin and Zillow data through mid-2026 show overall prices essentially unchanged year-over-year, with sales activity rising modestly but list prices reflecting slower appreciation as migration inflows moderate. Traders appear to price in limited near-term upside through September 30, concentrating implied probabilities in the $1.053M–$1.125M range while assigning low odds to sharp moves, consistent with stable but constrained housing fundamentals and the absence of major policy easing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 30 septembre ?
1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$ 53%
1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$ 28%
1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$ 14.1%
<1,017 M $ 4.7%
$56,782 Vol.
$56,782 Vol.
<1,017 M $
5%
1,017 M$ - 1,053 M$
2%
1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$
28%
1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$
53%
1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$
14%
1,161 M$ - 1,196 M$
3%
1,196 M$+
1%
1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$ 53%
1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$ 28%
1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$ 14.1%
<1,017 M $ 4.7%
$56,782 Vol.
$56,782 Vol.
<1,017 M $
5%
1,017 M$ - 1,053 M$
2%
1,053 M$ - 1,089 M$
28%
1,089 M$ - 1,125 M$
53%
1,125 M$ - 1,161 M$
14%
1,161 M$ - 1,196 M$
3%
1,196 M$+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes in the Miami market, contributing to flat-to-slightly softer median home values amid rising inventory and extended days-on-market. Recent Redfin and Zillow data through mid-2026 show overall prices essentially unchanged year-over-year, with sales activity rising modestly but list prices reflecting slower appreciation as migration inflows moderate. Traders appear to price in limited near-term upside through September 30, concentrating implied probabilities in the $1.053M–$1.125M range while assigning low odds to sharp moves, consistent with stable but constrained housing fundamentals and the absence of major policy easing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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