Skip to main content
icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ?

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ?

icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ?

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ?

518 000 $ - 524 000 $ 34.2%

524 000 $ - 530 000 $ 30.0%

512K $ - 518K $ 26.6%

<512 000 $ 12.6%

Polymarket

$32,401 Vol.

518 000 $ - 524 000 $ 34.2%

524 000 $ - 530 000 $ 30.0%

512K $ - 518K $ 26.6%

<512 000 $ 12.6%

Polymarket

$32,401 Vol.

<512 000 $

$877 Vol.

13%

512K $ - 518K $

$1,716 Vol.

27%

518 000 $ - 524 000 $

$9,394 Vol.

34%

524 000 $ - 530 000 $

$4,377 Vol.

22%

530 000 $ - 536 000 $

$4,122 Vol.

4%

536 000 $ - 542 000 $

$7,787 Vol.

4%

542 000 $+

$4,128 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce reductions and associated employment uncertainty have elevated active listings and days on market across the DC metro, creating downward pressure on home values that aligns with trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Elevated inventory—up sharply year-over-year—combined with softer demand in core jurisdictions has produced mixed price signals, with some indices showing modest declines while median sale prices remain relatively firm. Mortgage rate stability and seasonal summer transaction patterns are the key near-term variables that could determine whether values settle in the leading $518K–$524K bin or shift lower by the September 30 resolution. The closely matched probabilities across adjacent bins reflect the market's assessment of these competing supply and demand forces.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volume
$32,401
Date de fin
30 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce reductions and associated employment uncertainty have elevated active listings and days on market across the DC metro, creating downward pressure on home values that aligns with trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Elevated inventory—up sharply year-over-year—combined with softer demand in core jurisdictions has produced mixed price signals, with some indices showing modest declines while median sale prices remain relatively firm. Mortgage rate stability and seasonal summer transaction patterns are the key near-term variables that could determine whether values settle in the leading $518K–$524K bin or shift lower by the September 30 resolution. The closely matched probabilities across adjacent bins reflect the market's assessment of these competing supply and demand forces.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volume
$32,401
Date de fin
30 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 518 000 $ - 524 000 $ » à 34%, suivi de « 512K $ - 518K $ » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 34¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ? » a généré $32.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ? » est « 518 000 $ - 524 000 $ » à 34%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 512K $ - 518K $ » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.