Recent federal workforce reductions and associated employment uncertainty have elevated active listings and days on market across the DC metro, creating downward pressure on home values that aligns with trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Elevated inventory—up sharply year-over-year—combined with softer demand in core jurisdictions has produced mixed price signals, with some indices showing modest declines while median sale prices remain relatively firm. Mortgage rate stability and seasonal summer transaction patterns are the key near-term variables that could determine whether values settle in the leading $518K–$524K bin or shift lower by the September 30 resolution. The closely matched probabilities across adjacent bins reflect the market's assessment of these competing supply and demand forces.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ?
518 000 $ - 524 000 $ 34.2%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $ 30.0%
512K $ - 518K $ 26.6%
<512 000 $ 12.6%
$32,401 Vol.
$32,401 Vol.
<512 000 $
13%
512K $ - 518K $
27%
518 000 $ - 524 000 $
34%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $
22%
530 000 $ - 536 000 $
4%
536 000 $ - 542 000 $
4%
542 000 $+
5%
518 000 $ - 524 000 $ 34.2%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $ 30.0%
512K $ - 518K $ 26.6%
<512 000 $ 12.6%
$32,401 Vol.
$32,401 Vol.
<512 000 $
13%
512K $ - 518K $
27%
518 000 $ - 524 000 $
34%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $
22%
530 000 $ - 536 000 $
4%
536 000 $ - 542 000 $
4%
542 000 $+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent federal workforce reductions and associated employment uncertainty have elevated active listings and days on market across the DC metro, creating downward pressure on home values that aligns with trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Elevated inventory—up sharply year-over-year—combined with softer demand in core jurisdictions has produced mixed price signals, with some indices showing modest declines while median sale prices remain relatively firm. Mortgage rate stability and seasonal summer transaction patterns are the key near-term variables that could determine whether values settle in the leading $518K–$524K bin or shift lower by the September 30 resolution. The closely matched probabilities across adjacent bins reflect the market's assessment of these competing supply and demand forces.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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