Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies continue coordinated operations targeting leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel and Sinaloa Cartel. The February 2026 death of CJNG founder El Mencho during a military raid triggered immediate follow-on arrests of his security detail and prompted violence including road blockades. In April, special forces captured high-ranking CJNG commander Audias Flores Silva, known as El Jardinero, along with an alleged money launderer, while the Department of Justice unsealed indictments against additional senior figures and expanded reward offers exceeding $100 million. Earlier extraditions, such as that of a Sinaloa operative to face U.S. trafficking charges, underscore ongoing cross-border legal processes. Traders monitor further enforcement actions, court proceedings, and any new high-value captures through the remainder of the year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuels chefs de cartel seront arrêtés en 2026 ?
Quels chefs de cartel seront arrêtés en 2026 ?
$143,093 Vol.
28 févr. 2026
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
71%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
50%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
48%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
50%
$143,093 Vol.
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
$5,906 Vol.
71%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
$5,848 Vol.
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$60,997 Vol.
50%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
$4,874 Vol.
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
$58,662 Vol.
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
$200 Vol.
48%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
$658 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies continue coordinated operations targeting leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel and Sinaloa Cartel. The February 2026 death of CJNG founder El Mencho during a military raid triggered immediate follow-on arrests of his security detail and prompted violence including road blockades. In April, special forces captured high-ranking CJNG commander Audias Flores Silva, known as El Jardinero, along with an alleged money launderer, while the Department of Justice unsealed indictments against additional senior figures and expanded reward offers exceeding $100 million. Earlier extraditions, such as that of a Sinaloa operative to face U.S. trafficking charges, underscore ongoing cross-border legal processes. Traders monitor further enforcement actions, court proceedings, and any new high-value captures through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Volume
$143,093Date de fin
28 févr. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies continue coordinated operations targeting leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel and Sinaloa Cartel. The February 2026 death of CJNG founder El Mencho during a military raid triggered immediate follow-on arrests of his security detail and prompted violence including road blockades. In April, special forces captured high-ranking CJNG commander Audias Flores Silva, known as El Jardinero, along with an alleged money launderer, while the Department of Justice unsealed indictments against additional senior figures and expanded reward offers exceeding $100 million. Earlier extraditions, such as that of a Sinaloa operative to face U.S. trafficking charges, underscore ongoing cross-border legal processes. Traders monitor further enforcement actions, court proceedings, and any new high-value captures through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$143,093Date de fin
28 févr. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies continue coordinated operations targeting leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel and Sinaloa Cartel. The February 2026 death of CJNG founder El Mencho during a military raid triggered immediate follow-on arrests of his security detail and prompted violence including road blockades. In April, special forces captured high-ranking CJNG commander Audias Flores Silva, known as El Jardinero, along with an alleged money launderer, while the Department of Justice unsealed indictments against additional senior figures and expanded reward offers exceeding $100 million. Earlier extraditions, such as that of a Sinaloa operative to face U.S. trafficking charges, underscore ongoing cross-border legal processes. Traders monitor further enforcement actions, court proceedings, and any new high-value captures through the remainder of the year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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