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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$14,948 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$14,948 Vol.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$596 Vol.

73%

Rwanda

$157 Vol.

57%

Burundi

$157 Vol.

66%

United States

$4,269 Vol.

38%

Canada

$823 Vol.

45%

Kenya

$134 Vol.

77%

India

$390 Vol.

29%

Republic of the Congo

$4,446 Vol.

22%

Nigeria

$24 Vol.

32%

Ethiopia

$64 Vol.

44%

Somalia

$65 Vol.

29%

China

$1,869 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Ebola disease outbreaks driven by the Bundibugyo virus strain have produced hundreds of confirmed cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (over 500 as of early June) and 19 in Uganda, according to WHO and CDC surveillance data through June 10, 2026, following the May PHEIC declaration. Cross-border travel, insecurity in Ituri Province, and population displacement elevate transmission risks to neighboring nations including South Sudan, Rwanda, and Burundi via zoonotic spillover or human chains. Official case counts reflect laboratory confirmation amid rising suspected reports, with models projecting further growth absent intensified contact tracing and isolation. No confirmed cases have appeared elsewhere, though enhanced screening at entry points continues. Traders monitor weekly WHO and CDC updates plus Africa CDC briefings for evidence of geographic expansion before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,948
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Ebola disease outbreaks driven by the Bundibugyo virus strain have produced hundreds of confirmed cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (over 500 as of early June) and 19 in Uganda, according to WHO and CDC surveillance data through June 10, 2026, following the May PHEIC declaration. Cross-border travel, insecurity in Ituri Province, and population displacement elevate transmission risks to neighboring nations including South Sudan, Rwanda, and Burundi via zoonotic spillover or human chains. Official case counts reflect laboratory confirmation amid rising suspected reports, with models projecting further growth absent intensified contact tracing and isolation. No confirmed cases have appeared elsewhere, though enhanced screening at entry points continues. Traders monitor weekly WHO and CDC updates plus Africa CDC briefings for evidence of geographic expansion before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,948
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Uganda » à 100%, suivi de « Kenya » à 78%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? » a généré $14.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 22, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? » est « Uganda » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kenya » à 78%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.