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icon for Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ?

Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ?

icon for Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ?

Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ?

déc. 31

déc. 31

$567,203 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$567,203 Vol.

Polymarket

Somalie du Nord

$61,741 Vol.

35%

Liban

$58,017 Vol.

18%

Azerbaïdjan

$43,147 Vol.

15%

Oman

$145,328 Vol.

13%

Koweït

$22,614 Vol.

13%

Arabie saoudite

$89,001 Vol.

13%

Syrie

$147,356 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration have centered on expanding the Abraham Accords through bilateral normalization agreements with Israel, building on Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 and Israel’s recognition of Somaliland with its stated intent to join later that year. Saudi Arabia remains the most discussed potential new member, though Riyadh continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and related regional issues. Sudan retains an earlier framework agreement still awaiting full implementation amid its ongoing internal conflict, while Syria and Lebanon face significant domestic and security hurdles that have so far blocked advancement. These developments, alongside U.S. statements encouraging further signatories, shape trader assessments of which country is most likely to complete the required steps before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$567,203
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration have centered on expanding the Abraham Accords through bilateral normalization agreements with Israel, building on Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 and Israel’s recognition of Somaliland with its stated intent to join later that year. Saudi Arabia remains the most discussed potential new member, though Riyadh continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and related regional issues. Sudan retains an earlier framework agreement still awaiting full implementation amid its ongoing internal conflict, while Syria and Lebanon face significant domestic and security hurdles that have so far blocked advancement. These developments, alongside U.S. statements encouraging further signatories, shape trader assessments of which country is most likely to complete the required steps before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$567,203
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Somalie du Nord » à 35%, suivi de « Liban » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ? » a généré $567.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ? » est « Somalie du Nord » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Liban » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quel pays adhérera aux Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.