Recent polls and exit projections for the September 20, 2026, Landtag election show the AfD leading with roughly 37-38% and the incumbent SPD close behind at 35-36%, followed by the Left at 6-7%, Greens near 5-6%, and the CDU hovering around the 5% threshold. The prior SPD-Left coalition lacks a majority on current figures. All mainstream parties maintain a firewall against the AfD, leaving coalition options centered on an SPD-led arrangement. Analysts view an SPD-Left-Greens combination as the most viable path to a majority if the Greens clear the hurdle, while an SPD-CDU or minority government remains possible alternatives depending on final seat counts and negotiations. High turnout and the AfD's strong eastern performance add pressure on formation talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
SPD
93%
Linke
93%
Les Verts
75%
BSW
28%
CDU
7%
FW
4%
FDP
3%
AfD
21%
$9,081 Vol.
SPD
$2,285 Vol.
93%
Linke
$2,738 Vol.
93%
Les Verts
$366 Vol.
75%
BSW
$15 Vol.
28%
CDU
$101 Vol.
7%
FW
$681 Vol.
4%
FDP
$1,494 Vol.
3%
AfD
$1,402 Vol.
21%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.Recent polls and exit projections for the September 20, 2026, Landtag election show the AfD leading with roughly 37-38% and the incumbent SPD close behind at 35-36%, followed by the Left at 6-7%, Greens near 5-6%, and the CDU hovering around the 5% threshold. The prior SPD-Left coalition lacks a majority on current figures. All mainstream parties maintain a firewall against the AfD, leaving coalition options centered on an SPD-led arrangement. Analysts view an SPD-Left-Greens combination as the most viable path to a majority if the Greens clear the hurdle, while an SPD-CDU or minority government remains possible alternatives depending on final seat counts and negotiations. High turnout and the AfD's strong eastern performance add pressure on formation talks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$9,081Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.Recent polls and exit projections for the September 20, 2026, Landtag election show the AfD leading with roughly 37-38% and the incumbent SPD close behind at 35-36%, followed by the Left at 6-7%, Greens near 5-6%, and the CDU hovering around the 5% threshold. The prior SPD-Left coalition lacks a majority on current figures. All mainstream parties maintain a firewall against the AfD, leaving coalition options centered on an SPD-led arrangement. Analysts view an SPD-Left-Greens combination as the most viable path to a majority if the Greens clear the hurdle, while an SPD-CDU or minority government remains possible alternatives depending on final seat counts and negotiations. High turnout and the AfD's strong eastern performance add pressure on formation talks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
Volume
$9,081Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent polls and exit projections for the September 20, 2026, Landtag election show the AfD leading with roughly 37-38% and the incumbent SPD close behind at 35-36%, followed by the Left at 6-7%, Greens near 5-6%, and the CDU hovering around the 5% threshold. The prior SPD-Left coalition lacks a majority on current figures. All mainstream parties maintain a firewall against the AfD, leaving coalition options centered on an SPD-led arrangement. Analysts view an SPD-Left-Greens combination as the most viable path to a majority if the Greens clear the hurdle, while an SPD-CDU or minority government remains possible alternatives depending on final seat counts and negotiations. High turnout and the AfD's strong eastern performance add pressure on formation talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le parti AfD va-t-il remporter le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
100%
Oui
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
95%
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
52%
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