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icon for Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ?
Politique·Armée

Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ?

icon for Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ?
Politique·Armée

Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ?

Adam Telle 47%

W. Jordan Gillis 24%

Brent Ingraham 15%

Brian Mast 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Adam Telle 47%

W. Jordan Gillis 24%

Brent Ingraham 15%

Brian Mast 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Adam Telle

$26 Vol.

47%

W. Jordan Gillis

$26 Vol.

24%

Brent Ingraham

$26 Vol.

15%

Brian Mast

$26 Vol.

13%

Charles Young III

$26 Vol.

13%

Marc Andersen

$26 Vol.

13%

Michael Obadal

$26 Vol.

25%

Sean Parnell

$46 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested trader consensus for Trump's next Army Secretary reflects multiple viable contenders following Dan Driscoll's recent resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Adam Telle, elevated to acting secretary in early September after his Senate-confirmed role overseeing civil works, holds a narrow lead in current pricing, while Sean Parnell benefits from internal Pentagon advocacy as Hegseth's spokesperson. Other names such as Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and Rep. Brian Mast remain in consideration, with any permanent nominee requiring Senate confirmation that could surface questions over recent leadership changes. Upcoming White House nomination decisions and committee proceedings represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities among these candidates.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$228
Date de fin
19 janv. 2029
Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested trader consensus for Trump's next Army Secretary reflects multiple viable contenders following Dan Driscoll's recent resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Adam Telle, elevated to acting secretary in early September after his Senate-confirmed role overseeing civil works, holds a narrow lead in current pricing, while Sean Parnell benefits from internal Pentagon advocacy as Hegseth's spokesperson. Other names such as Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and Rep. Brian Mast remain in consideration, with any permanent nominee requiring Senate confirmation that could surface questions over recent leadership changes. Upcoming White House nomination decisions and committee proceedings represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities among these candidates.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$228
Date de fin
19 janv. 2029
Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Sean Parnell » à 48%, suivi de « Adam Telle » à 47%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 15, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ? » est « Sean Parnell » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Adam Telle » à 47%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui sera le prochain secrétaire de l'armée de Trump ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.