Movsar Evloev holds the edge in trader consensus at 54% to be featherweight champion by the end of 2026, driven by his 20-0 record and recent majority-decision win over Lerone Murphy in a March 2026 title eliminator that solidified his status as the top contender. Alexander Volkanovski sits at 42.5% as the defending champion following successful 2025-2026 defenses, including unanimous-decision victories over Diego Lopes, though his age and the October 2026 title clash at UFC 333 create uncertainty about retaining the belt long-term. Lower-probability names such as Steve Garcia, Jean Silva, and Brian Ortega reflect limited paths to contention before year-end due to current rankings and matchmaking. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities accounts for Evloev's momentum against Volkanovski's proven experience in a division where one high-profile fight can shift the landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMovsar Evloev 54%
Alexander Volkanovski 44%
Jean Silva 5.2%
Steve Garcia 1.3%
$305,729 Vol.
$305,729 Vol.
Movsar Evloev
54%
Alexander Volkanovski
44%
Jean Silva
5%
Steve Garcia
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Arnold Allen
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Aljamain Sterling
<1%
Kevin Vallejos
<1%
Movsar Evloev 54%
Alexander Volkanovski 44%
Jean Silva 5.2%
Steve Garcia 1.3%
$305,729 Vol.
$305,729 Vol.
Movsar Evloev
54%
Alexander Volkanovski
44%
Jean Silva
5%
Steve Garcia
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Arnold Allen
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Aljamain Sterling
<1%
Kevin Vallejos
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Movsar Evloev holds the edge in trader consensus at 54% to be featherweight champion by the end of 2026, driven by his 20-0 record and recent majority-decision win over Lerone Murphy in a March 2026 title eliminator that solidified his status as the top contender. Alexander Volkanovski sits at 42.5% as the defending champion following successful 2025-2026 defenses, including unanimous-decision victories over Diego Lopes, though his age and the October 2026 title clash at UFC 333 create uncertainty about retaining the belt long-term. Lower-probability names such as Steve Garcia, Jean Silva, and Brian Ortega reflect limited paths to contention before year-end due to current rankings and matchmaking. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities accounts for Evloev's momentum against Volkanovski's proven experience in a division where one high-profile fight can shift the landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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