Joshua Van leads implied probabilities in the UFC flyweight title market at 48 percent following his capture of the belt via injury stoppage against Alexandre Pantoja in December 2025 and a fifth-round TKO title defense over Tatsuro Taira in May 2026. Traders appear to weigh Van’s current reign and momentum heavily while acknowledging the division’s volatility, with Pantoja at 36 percent reflecting his proven pedigree and anticipated rematch opportunity once fully recovered. Contenders such as Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape remain relevant due to their rankings and stylistic matchups that could produce upsets, though the long timeline to year-end introduces variables like potential injuries, weight cuts, and emerging prospects that continue to shape the competitive landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlexandre Pantoja 50%
Joshua Van 39%
Tatsuro Taira 34.0%
Manel Kape 24.1%
$14,774 Vol.
$14,774 Vol.
Alexandre Pantoja
38%
Joshua Van
39%
Tatsuro Taira
21%
Manel Kape
24%
Steve Erceg
1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Tim Elliott
<1%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Amir Albazi
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Kyoji Horiguchi
46%
Alexandre Pantoja 50%
Joshua Van 39%
Tatsuro Taira 34.0%
Manel Kape 24.1%
$14,774 Vol.
$14,774 Vol.
Alexandre Pantoja
38%
Joshua Van
39%
Tatsuro Taira
21%
Manel Kape
24%
Steve Erceg
1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Tim Elliott
<1%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Amir Albazi
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Kyoji Horiguchi
46%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joshua Van leads implied probabilities in the UFC flyweight title market at 48 percent following his capture of the belt via injury stoppage against Alexandre Pantoja in December 2025 and a fifth-round TKO title defense over Tatsuro Taira in May 2026. Traders appear to weigh Van’s current reign and momentum heavily while acknowledging the division’s volatility, with Pantoja at 36 percent reflecting his proven pedigree and anticipated rematch opportunity once fully recovered. Contenders such as Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape remain relevant due to their rankings and stylistic matchups that could produce upsets, though the long timeline to year-end introduces variables like potential injuries, weight cuts, and emerging prospects that continue to shape the competitive landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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