Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed heavyweight title but remains sidelined by lingering eye issues from his October 2025 no-contest with Ciryl Gane, creating prolonged uncertainty that has traders discounting his year-end odds to 42%. This vacuum has fueled momentum for rising contenders, with Josh Hokit climbing into the top five after strong showings and a scheduled bout against Derrick Lewis, while Tyrell Fortune builds on recent wins over established names like Marcin Tybura. The interim title clash between Alex Pereira and Gane at UFC Freedom 250 adds further volatility, as the winner could shape the division’s immediate path. With the heavyweight landscape featuring several unbeaten or surging prospects and no clear long-term frontrunner, the tight clustering around 29–46% reflects competitive depth and the potential for rapid shifts from injuries, upsets, or late surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombattant A 44%
Tom Aspinall 42%
Ciryl Gane 37%
Ante Delija 28.7%
$324,110 Vol.
$324,110 Vol.
Combattant A
44%
Tom Aspinall
42%
Ciryl Gane
29%
Ante Delija
29%
Serghei Spivac
10%
Derrick Lewis
7%
Jailton Almeida
5%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
5%
Alexander Volkov
2%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Sergei Pavlovich
18%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Combattant C
45%
Fighter B
34%
Combattant A 44%
Tom Aspinall 42%
Ciryl Gane 37%
Ante Delija 28.7%
$324,110 Vol.
$324,110 Vol.
Combattant A
44%
Tom Aspinall
42%
Ciryl Gane
29%
Ante Delija
29%
Serghei Spivac
10%
Derrick Lewis
7%
Jailton Almeida
5%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
5%
Alexander Volkov
2%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Sergei Pavlovich
18%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Combattant C
45%
Fighter B
34%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed heavyweight title but remains sidelined by lingering eye issues from his October 2025 no-contest with Ciryl Gane, creating prolonged uncertainty that has traders discounting his year-end odds to 42%. This vacuum has fueled momentum for rising contenders, with Josh Hokit climbing into the top five after strong showings and a scheduled bout against Derrick Lewis, while Tyrell Fortune builds on recent wins over established names like Marcin Tybura. The interim title clash between Alex Pereira and Gane at UFC Freedom 250 adds further volatility, as the winner could shape the division’s immediate path. With the heavyweight landscape featuring several unbeaten or surging prospects and no clear long-term frontrunner, the tight clustering around 29–46% reflects competitive depth and the potential for rapid shifts from injuries, upsets, or late surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes