Carlos Ulberg captured the UFC light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, establishing him as the clear market leader despite suffering a torn ACL during the bout that projects a nine-to-twelve-month recovery. This injury timeline raises the possibility of an interim title fight, yet traders still assign him a 72% implied probability through the end of the year based on his undefeated run and the division's thin contender pool. Magomed Ankalaev sits at 14% as the top-ranked challenger with strong stylistic advantages and recent title experience, while Bogdan Guskov and veterans like Volkan Oezdemir gain modest traction from recent finishes amid a schedule short on immediate high-profile matchups. The wisdom of crowds reflects Ulberg's current status as champion and limited near-term threats to his reign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCarlos Ulberg 72%
Jiří Procházka 5.4%
Magomed Ankalaev 4.3%
Alex Pereira 3.7%
$20,709 Vol.
$20,709 Vol.
Carlos Ulberg
72%
Jiří Procházka
9%
Magomed Ankalaev
14%
Alex Pereira
4%
Dominick Reyes
3%
Jamahal Hill
12%
Volkan Oezdemir
7%
Bogdan Guskov
10%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Azamat Murzakanov
1%
Jan Błachowicz
<1%
Carlos Ulberg 72%
Jiří Procházka 5.4%
Magomed Ankalaev 4.3%
Alex Pereira 3.7%
$20,709 Vol.
$20,709 Vol.
Carlos Ulberg
72%
Jiří Procházka
9%
Magomed Ankalaev
14%
Alex Pereira
4%
Dominick Reyes
3%
Jamahal Hill
12%
Volkan Oezdemir
7%
Bogdan Guskov
10%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Azamat Murzakanov
1%
Jan Błachowicz
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Ulberg captured the UFC light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, establishing him as the clear market leader despite suffering a torn ACL during the bout that projects a nine-to-twelve-month recovery. This injury timeline raises the possibility of an interim title fight, yet traders still assign him a 72% implied probability through the end of the year based on his undefeated run and the division's thin contender pool. Magomed Ankalaev sits at 14% as the top-ranked challenger with strong stylistic advantages and recent title experience, while Bogdan Guskov and veterans like Volkan Oezdemir gain modest traction from recent finishes amid a schedule short on immediate high-profile matchups. The wisdom of crowds reflects Ulberg's current status as champion and limited near-term threats to his reign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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