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Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Justin Gaethje 70.0%

Arman Tsarukyan 7.3%

Benoît Saint Denis 4.1%

Ilia Topuria 3.0%

Polymarket

$632,270 Vol.

Justin Gaethje 70.0%

Arman Tsarukyan 7.3%

Benoît Saint Denis 4.1%

Ilia Topuria 3.0%

Polymarket

$632,270 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$14,877 Vol.

3%

Arman Tsarukyan

$5,763 Vol.

16%

Charles Oliveira

$5,079 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$13,328 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$11,436 Vol.

74%

Paddy Pimblett

$521,984 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$2,019 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$1,843 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$50,370 Vol.

4%

Rafael Fiziev

$1,986 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$2,083 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Ruffy

$1,501 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**Justin Gaethje’s fourth-round stoppage of Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 on June 14 has positioned the veteran as the current lightweight champion, though the market remains tight because the division features multiple viable long-term contenders.** Arman Tsarukyan sits immediately behind at #2 with strong recent form, including a submission win over Dan Hooker, and has publicly demanded the next title shot while voicing frustration over prior snubs. Charles Oliveira, Max Holloway, Benoît Saint Denis, and rising prospect Mauricio Ruffy occupy the next tier of rankings, each with paths to contention via strong performances or stylistic matchups. Topuria’s recent loss and reported injury concerns further open the timeline, while Paddy Pimblett’s earlier interim defeat limits his immediate trajectory. With Gaethje’s first defense still months away and several ranked fighters active through the remainder of 2026, traders see a realistic chance for at least one additional title change before year’s end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$632,270
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**Justin Gaethje’s fourth-round stoppage of Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 on June 14 has positioned the veteran as the current lightweight champion, though the market remains tight because the division features multiple viable long-term contenders.** Arman Tsarukyan sits immediately behind at #2 with strong recent form, including a submission win over Dan Hooker, and has publicly demanded the next title shot while voicing frustration over prior snubs. Charles Oliveira, Max Holloway, Benoît Saint Denis, and rising prospect Mauricio Ruffy occupy the next tier of rankings, each with paths to contention via strong performances or stylistic matchups. Topuria’s recent loss and reported injury concerns further open the timeline, while Paddy Pimblett’s earlier interim defeat limits his immediate trajectory. With Gaethje’s first defense still months away and several ranked fighters active through the remainder of 2026, traders see a realistic chance for at least one additional title change before year’s end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$632,270
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Questions fréquentes

« Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Justin Gaethje » à 74%, suivi de « Arman Tsarukyan » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? » a généré $632.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 4, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? » est « Justin Gaethje » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Arman Tsarukyan » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.