Skip to main content
icon for Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

icon for Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

$421,319 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$421,319 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,655 Vol.

37%

Donald Brodie

$1,220 Vol.

22%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Vol.

21%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Vol.

17%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Vol.

17%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Vol.

15%

Roger Stone

$3,489 Vol.

14%

Daniel Penny

$447 Vol.

20%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Vol.

10%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Vol.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$29,664 Vol.

7%

Julian Assange

$3,037 Vol.

6%

Young Thug

$4,401 Vol.

6%

Nicolás Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

6%

Lui-même

$12,557 Vol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,479 Vol.

5%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

5%

Diddy

$26,741 Vol.

5%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,618 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Vol.

4%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,162 Vol.

4%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,547 Vol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,580 Vol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Vol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised clemency extensively since January 2025, issuing a blanket pardon covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office along with targeted commutations for Proud Boys and Oath Keepers leaders. Additional grants have included political allies such as Rudy Giuliani, Mark Meadows, George Santos, and 77 individuals tied to 2020 election challenges, plus figures like Trevor Milton, Changpeng Zhao, and former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández. Through mid-2026 the administration continued issuing individual pardons for white-collar and regulatory offenses, often bypassing standard DOJ review in favor of direct advocacy by supporters and donors. With more than a year remaining before 2027, further actions could focus on remaining allies or high-profile cases amid ongoing political and legal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$421,319
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised clemency extensively since January 2025, issuing a blanket pardon covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office along with targeted commutations for Proud Boys and Oath Keepers leaders. Additional grants have included political allies such as Rudy Giuliani, Mark Meadows, George Santos, and 77 individuals tied to 2020 election challenges, plus figures like Trevor Milton, Changpeng Zhao, and former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández. Through mid-2026 the administration continued issuing individual pardons for white-collar and regulatory offenses, often bypassing standard DOJ review in favor of direct advocacy by supporters and donors. With more than a year remaining before 2027, further actions could focus on remaining allies or high-profile cases amid ongoing political and legal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$421,319
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 28 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ryan Salame » à 37%, suivi de « Donald Brodie » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » a généré $421.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 28 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » est « Ryan Salame » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Donald Brodie » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.