The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) has prioritized internal stability, revenue-sharing negotiations with Baghdad, and avoidance of regional entanglements amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict and related strikes on its infrastructure. Recent statements from Prime Minister Masrour Barzani and President Nechirvan Barzani emphasize cooperation with the federal government on arms control, oil exports, and budget issues rather than any push for sovereignty. Internal KDP-PUK divisions have further complicated unified action, while Iraq’s Supreme Court ruling against secession and opposition from Iran and Turkey remain structural constraints. With no legislative steps, referendums, or official declarations underway by mid-2026, traders see negligible near-term momentum for an independence announcement before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe GRK déclare son indépendance de l'Irak d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Le GRK déclare son indépendance de l'Irak d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Oui
6% chance
$272,582 Vol.
$272,582 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
6% chance
$272,582 Vol.
$272,582 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) has prioritized internal stability, revenue-sharing negotiations with Baghdad, and avoidance of regional entanglements amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict and related strikes on its infrastructure. Recent statements from Prime Minister Masrour Barzani and President Nechirvan Barzani emphasize cooperation with the federal government on arms control, oil exports, and budget issues rather than any push for sovereignty. Internal KDP-PUK divisions have further complicated unified action, while Iraq’s Supreme Court ruling against secession and opposition from Iran and Turkey remain structural constraints. With no legislative steps, referendums, or official declarations underway by mid-2026, traders see negligible near-term momentum for an independence announcement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$272,582Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) has prioritized internal stability, revenue-sharing negotiations with Baghdad, and avoidance of regional entanglements amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict and related strikes on its infrastructure. Recent statements from Prime Minister Masrour Barzani and President Nechirvan Barzani emphasize cooperation with the federal government on arms control, oil exports, and budget issues rather than any push for sovereignty. Internal KDP-PUK divisions have further complicated unified action, while Iraq’s Supreme Court ruling against secession and opposition from Iran and Turkey remain structural constraints. With no legislative steps, referendums, or official declarations underway by mid-2026, traders see negligible near-term momentum for an independence announcement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$272,582Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) has prioritized internal stability, revenue-sharing negotiations with Baghdad, and avoidance of regional entanglements amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict and related strikes on its infrastructure. Recent statements from Prime Minister Masrour Barzani and President Nechirvan Barzani emphasize cooperation with the federal government on arms control, oil exports, and budget issues rather than any push for sovereignty. Internal KDP-PUK divisions have further complicated unified action, while Iraq’s Supreme Court ruling against secession and opposition from Iran and Turkey remain structural constraints. With no legislative steps, referendums, or official declarations underway by mid-2026, traders see negligible near-term momentum for an independence announcement before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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