The solidly Republican tilt of Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District, combined with the open-seat vacancy created by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, has anchored trader consensus around a GOP hold. Race raters classify the district as Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent double-digit partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance in recent cycles. With both parties holding August 11 primaries, the market prices reflect the structural advantage for whichever Republican nominee emerges from a field that includes a Trump-endorsed candidate, while Democrats face a more fragmented primary. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline positioning, as the contest remains months from the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$17,886 Vol.
$17,886 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
16%
$17,886 Vol.
$17,886 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,874 Vol.
83%
Parti démocrate
$9,011 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District, combined with the open-seat vacancy created by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, has anchored trader consensus around a GOP hold. Race raters classify the district as Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent double-digit partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance in recent cycles. With both parties holding August 11 primaries, the market prices reflect the structural advantage for whichever Republican nominee emerges from a field that includes a Trump-endorsed candidate, while Democrats face a more fragmented primary. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline positioning, as the contest remains months from the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$17,886Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District, combined with the open-seat vacancy created by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, has anchored trader consensus around a GOP hold. Race raters classify the district as Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent double-digit partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance in recent cycles. With both parties holding August 11 primaries, the market prices reflect the structural advantage for whichever Republican nominee emerges from a field that includes a Trump-endorsed candidate, while Democrats face a more fragmented primary. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline positioning, as the contest remains months from the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,886Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District, combined with the open-seat vacancy created by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, has anchored trader consensus around a GOP hold. Race raters classify the district as Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent double-digit partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance in recent cycles. With both parties holding August 11 primaries, the market prices reflect the structural advantage for whichever Republican nominee emerges from a field that includes a Trump-endorsed candidate, while Democrats face a more fragmented primary. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline positioning, as the contest remains months from the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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