Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,206 Vol.
$21,206 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
9%
$21,206 Vol.
$21,206 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$14,017 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$7,189 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,206Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,206Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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