The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
78%
Parti démocrate
21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$3,974 Vol.
78%
Parti démocrate
$3,384 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,358Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,358Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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