Extensive releases of over 3.5 million Epstein-related pages, videos, and images under the 2025 Transparency Act have produced no qualifying U.S. federal or state indictments to date, with the Department of Justice signaling completion of its review and citing prior investigations, statutes of limitations, and insufficient new evidence for fresh charges. Congressional hearings and subpoenas have generated scrutiny and international probes but no domestic prosecutions tied directly to the post-December 2025 disclosures. Traders assign 95.5% probability to “No” by the December 31, 2026 deadline, reflecting institutional inertia and evidentiary thresholds. Late-breaking state attorney general actions or unexpected DOJ developments before year-end remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome.