**FalleN's 35-year-old age, announced retirement at the end of 2026, and FURIA's failure to secure any S-tier title this season are the dominant factors behind the 66% "No" probability.** The veteran IGL/rifler has competed in numerous high-stakes events including the IEM Cologne Major (runner-up), IEM Kraków (runner-up), StarSeries Fall (third place), and several BLAST and FISSURE events, yet has posted only mid-pack or lower finishes without lifting a trophy. Recent ESL Pro League results show inconsistency—strong wins over mid-tier sides like 9z but heavy losses to MOUZ and Aurora—while top organizations such as Vitality and Falcons continue to dominate. With limited events remaining before retirement and a demanding schedule, trader consensus views an S-tier breakthrough as unlikely despite his experience and FURIA's occasional deep runs.