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icon for La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ?

La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ?

icon for La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ?

La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ?

48% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
48% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year? This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count. The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.Trader sentiment on whether FNS will announce a 2028 presidential run by year-end reflects a tightly contested matchup, with the "No" side holding a slim 51% implied probability edge. Limited recent activity in the political arena leaves the field wide open, as FNS has shown no clear signs of entering the early nomination race or building momentum through public appearances, endorsements, or team alignments. This balance stems from the absence of standout developments in the past month, keeping both outcomes in play without a decisive shift. Factors that could tilt the odds include confirmed statements on future plans, roster changes in advisory circles, or positioning moves that signal intent, while continued low-profile status would reinforce the current lean. Sports outcomes remain unpredictable even with favorites, and this market hinges on timely signals amid the broader 2028 contest.

Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count.

The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.
Volume
$0
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year? This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count. The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.
Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year? This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count. The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.Trader sentiment on whether FNS will announce a 2028 presidential run by year-end reflects a tightly contested matchup, with the "No" side holding a slim 51% implied probability edge. Limited recent activity in the political arena leaves the field wide open, as FNS has shown no clear signs of entering the early nomination race or building momentum through public appearances, endorsements, or team alignments. This balance stems from the absence of standout developments in the past month, keeping both outcomes in play without a decisive shift. Factors that could tilt the odds include confirmed statements on future plans, roster changes in advisory circles, or positioning moves that signal intent, while continued low-profile status would reinforce the current lean. Sports outcomes remain unpredictable even with favorites, and this market hinges on timely signals amid the broader 2028 contest.

Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count.

The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.
Volume
$0
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year? This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028. Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count. The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying announcement.

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Questions fréquentes

« La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 48% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 48¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ? » est de 48% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 48% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « La FNS annoncera-t-elle une course présidentielle en 2028 d'ici la fin de l'année ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.