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icon for Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

icon for Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$1,810 Vol.

Polymarket

July 31

$1,229 Vol.

3%

December 31

$139 Vol.

22%

March 31

$442 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella has served as president of France’s National Rally (RN) since 2022 and remains the party’s most prominent figure ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Paris appeals court ruling on July 7, 2026, upheld Marine Le Pen’s five-year public-office ban in the EU funds case, positioning Bardella as the likely RN nominee while the pair continues joint campaign events. Public statements from both leaders affirm ongoing cooperation, though analysts note longstanding differences on economic policy—Le Pen favoring a more statist approach and Bardella a comparatively liberal stance. No verified reports indicate plans for Bardella’s departure; recent developments instead reinforce his institutional role within the party ahead of scheduled electoral milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,810
Date de fin
31 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella has served as president of France’s National Rally (RN) since 2022 and remains the party’s most prominent figure ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Paris appeals court ruling on July 7, 2026, upheld Marine Le Pen’s five-year public-office ban in the EU funds case, positioning Bardella as the likely RN nominee while the pair continues joint campaign events. Public statements from both leaders affirm ongoing cooperation, though analysts note longstanding differences on economic policy—Le Pen favoring a more statist approach and Bardella a comparatively liberal stance. No verified reports indicate plans for Bardella’s departure; recent developments instead reinforce his institutional role within the party ahead of scheduled electoral milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,810
Date de fin
31 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « December 31 » à 22%, suivi de « March 31 » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 22¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 22% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? » est « December 31 » à 22%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 22% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « March 31 » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.