Negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing Long Island Rail Road workers collapsed after three years of talks centered on wage increases, with employees receiving no raises since 2022. The strike began early Saturday, May 16, 2026, marking the first walkout in more than thirty years and halting service for roughly 300,000 daily riders. Federal mediators from the National Mediation Board joined discussions over the weekend, while New York Governor Kathy Hochul urged both sides to reach terms quickly to limit commuter disruptions. A tentative contract agreement was announced late Monday night, paving the way for service restoration potentially as early as Tuesday afternoon pending safety inspections and crew recalls. Traders are watching further ratification votes and any last-minute holdouts that could extend the outage beyond immediate resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
May 19
96%
May 20
95%
May 21
96%
May 22
96%
May 23
97%
May 24
96%
May 31
97%
$2,276 Vol.
May 19
$272 Vol.
96%
May 20
$215 Vol.
95%
May 21
$267 Vol.
96%
May 22
$315 Vol.
96%
May 23
$329 Vol.
97%
May 24
$453 Vol.
96%
May 31
$457 Vol.
97%
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing Long Island Rail Road workers collapsed after three years of talks centered on wage increases, with employees receiving no raises since 2022. The strike began early Saturday, May 16, 2026, marking the first walkout in more than thirty years and halting service for roughly 300,000 daily riders. Federal mediators from the National Mediation Board joined discussions over the weekend, while New York Governor Kathy Hochul urged both sides to reach terms quickly to limit commuter disruptions. A tentative contract agreement was announced late Monday night, paving the way for service restoration potentially as early as Tuesday afternoon pending safety inspections and crew recalls. Traders are watching further ratification votes and any last-minute holdouts that could extend the outage beyond immediate resolution windows.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$2,276Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing Long Island Rail Road workers collapsed after three years of talks centered on wage increases, with employees receiving no raises since 2022. The strike began early Saturday, May 16, 2026, marking the first walkout in more than thirty years and halting service for roughly 300,000 daily riders. Federal mediators from the National Mediation Board joined discussions over the weekend, while New York Governor Kathy Hochul urged both sides to reach terms quickly to limit commuter disruptions. A tentative contract agreement was announced late Monday night, paving the way for service restoration potentially as early as Tuesday afternoon pending safety inspections and crew recalls. Traders are watching further ratification votes and any last-minute holdouts that could extend the outage beyond immediate resolution windows.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,276Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing Long Island Rail Road workers collapsed after three years of talks centered on wage increases, with employees receiving no raises since 2022. The strike began early Saturday, May 16, 2026, marking the first walkout in more than thirty years and halting service for roughly 300,000 daily riders. Federal mediators from the National Mediation Board joined discussions over the weekend, while New York Governor Kathy Hochul urged both sides to reach terms quickly to limit commuter disruptions. A tentative contract agreement was announced late Monday night, paving the way for service restoration potentially as early as Tuesday afternoon pending safety inspections and crew recalls. Traders are watching further ratification votes and any last-minute holdouts that could extend the outage beyond immediate resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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