Early 2028 presidential nomination markets position male candidates as clear frontrunners in both parties, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican speculation and figures such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg competitive among Democrats. This positioning underpins the 74% implied probability against a woman winning the general election. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris remain the most prominent female prospects in Democratic polling and markets, yet they trail or split support with male contenders in an open primary. Potential female governors including Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited interest, while Republican options stay overwhelmingly male. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the 2024 outcome and historical nomination patterns, with the market resolving on the November 2028 winner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
26% chance
$13,151 Vol.
$13,151 Vol.
6 nov. 2028
Oui
26% chance
$13,151 Vol.
$13,151 Vol.
6 nov. 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early 2028 presidential nomination markets position male candidates as clear frontrunners in both parties, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican speculation and figures such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg competitive among Democrats. This positioning underpins the 74% implied probability against a woman winning the general election. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris remain the most prominent female prospects in Democratic polling and markets, yet they trail or split support with male contenders in an open primary. Potential female governors including Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited interest, while Republican options stay overwhelmingly male. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the 2024 outcome and historical nomination patterns, with the market resolving on the November 2028 winner.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$13,151Date de fin
7 nov. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early 2028 presidential nomination markets position male candidates as clear frontrunners in both parties, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican speculation and figures such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg competitive among Democrats. This positioning underpins the 74% implied probability against a woman winning the general election. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris remain the most prominent female prospects in Democratic polling and markets, yet they trail or split support with male contenders in an open primary. Potential female governors including Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited interest, while Republican options stay overwhelmingly male. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the 2024 outcome and historical nomination patterns, with the market resolving on the November 2028 winner.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$13,151Date de fin
7 nov. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early 2028 presidential nomination markets position male candidates as clear frontrunners in both parties, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican speculation and figures such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg competitive among Democrats. This positioning underpins the 74% implied probability against a woman winning the general election. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris remain the most prominent female prospects in Democratic polling and markets, yet they trail or split support with male contenders in an open primary. Potential female governors including Gretchen Whitmer have signaled limited interest, while Republican options stay overwhelmingly male. Trader consensus incorporates these dynamics alongside the 2024 outcome and historical nomination patterns, with the market resolving on the November 2028 winner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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