Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for a U.S. invasion of Mexico in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official military mobilization, troop deployments, or congressional authorization amid longstanding diplomatic barriers and sovereignty concerns raised by Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. Recent CIA escalation of secret deadly operations against cartels inside Mexico on May 12 underscores targeted anti-narcotics efforts—distinct from full-scale invasion—while U.S. naval strikes on drug boats earlier this year and Mexico's arrests of Sinaloa leaders show bilateral cooperation without territorial incursion. Bipartisan U.S. lawmakers warned in January against unilateral action, preserving joint military exercises, as rhetoric from President Trump on land strikes remains unmatched by preparatory steps despite post-Venezuela tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis envahiront-ils le Mexique en 2026 ?
Les États-Unis envahiront-ils le Mexique en 2026 ?
Oui
$106,324 Vol.
$106,324 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$106,324 Vol.
$106,324 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for a U.S. invasion of Mexico in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official military mobilization, troop deployments, or congressional authorization amid longstanding diplomatic barriers and sovereignty concerns raised by Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. Recent CIA escalation of secret deadly operations against cartels inside Mexico on May 12 underscores targeted anti-narcotics efforts—distinct from full-scale invasion—while U.S. naval strikes on drug boats earlier this year and Mexico's arrests of Sinaloa leaders show bilateral cooperation without territorial incursion. Bipartisan U.S. lawmakers warned in January against unilateral action, preserving joint military exercises, as rhetoric from President Trump on land strikes remains unmatched by preparatory steps despite post-Venezuela tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$106,324Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for a U.S. invasion of Mexico in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official military mobilization, troop deployments, or congressional authorization amid longstanding diplomatic barriers and sovereignty concerns raised by Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. Recent CIA escalation of secret deadly operations against cartels inside Mexico on May 12 underscores targeted anti-narcotics efforts—distinct from full-scale invasion—while U.S. naval strikes on drug boats earlier this year and Mexico's arrests of Sinaloa leaders show bilateral cooperation without territorial incursion. Bipartisan U.S. lawmakers warned in January against unilateral action, preserving joint military exercises, as rhetoric from President Trump on land strikes remains unmatched by preparatory steps despite post-Venezuela tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$106,324Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for a U.S. invasion of Mexico in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official military mobilization, troop deployments, or congressional authorization amid longstanding diplomatic barriers and sovereignty concerns raised by Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. Recent CIA escalation of secret deadly operations against cartels inside Mexico on May 12 underscores targeted anti-narcotics efforts—distinct from full-scale invasion—while U.S. naval strikes on drug boats earlier this year and Mexico's arrests of Sinaloa leaders show bilateral cooperation without territorial incursion. Bipartisan U.S. lawmakers warned in January against unilateral action, preserving joint military exercises, as rhetoric from President Trump on land strikes remains unmatched by preparatory steps despite post-Venezuela tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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