Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in February 2026 and the preceding 2025 conflict, have kept bilateral diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to serve as the protecting power through its Tehran interests section, while the State Department maintains a virtual embassy and issues repeated travel warnings urging Americans to depart amid security risks and airspace disruptions. Recent ceasefire agreements and indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan have produced interim understandings on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz, yet core disputes over enrichment limits, ballistic missiles, and compliance verification remain unresolved. These factors sustain trader consensus that formal embassy reopening by year-end faces substantial procedural and political barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
$152,557 Vol.
$152,557 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
$152,557 Vol.
$152,557 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in February 2026 and the preceding 2025 conflict, have kept bilateral diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to serve as the protecting power through its Tehran interests section, while the State Department maintains a virtual embassy and issues repeated travel warnings urging Americans to depart amid security risks and airspace disruptions. Recent ceasefire agreements and indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan have produced interim understandings on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz, yet core disputes over enrichment limits, ballistic missiles, and compliance verification remain unresolved. These factors sustain trader consensus that formal embassy reopening by year-end faces substantial procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$152,557Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in February 2026 and the preceding 2025 conflict, have kept bilateral diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to serve as the protecting power through its Tehran interests section, while the State Department maintains a virtual embassy and issues repeated travel warnings urging Americans to depart amid security risks and airspace disruptions. Recent ceasefire agreements and indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan have produced interim understandings on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz, yet core disputes over enrichment limits, ballistic missiles, and compliance verification remain unresolved. These factors sustain trader consensus that formal embassy reopening by year-end faces substantial procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$152,557Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in February 2026 and the preceding 2025 conflict, have kept bilateral diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to serve as the protecting power through its Tehran interests section, while the State Department maintains a virtual embassy and issues repeated travel warnings urging Americans to depart amid security risks and airspace disruptions. Recent ceasefire agreements and indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan have produced interim understandings on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz, yet core disputes over enrichment limits, ballistic missiles, and compliance verification remain unresolved. These factors sustain trader consensus that formal embassy reopening by year-end faces substantial procedural and political barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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