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Politique·Midterms

L'amendement de Virginie sur la protection contre l'avortement sera-t-il adopté ?

icon for L'amendement de Virginie sur la protection contre l'avortement sera-t-il adopté ?
Politique·Midterms

L'amendement de Virginie sur la protection contre l'avortement sera-t-il adopté ?

Oui

80% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

80% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, enshrining a fundamental right to reproductive decisions including abortion care while permitting third-trimester regulations for non-emergency cases, secured placement on the November 3, 2026 ballot after Democratic control of the General Assembly passed it in second reference during the January 2026 session, following initial approval in 2025. Trader consensus at 75% "Yes" reflects January Wason Center polling showing 66% overall support (91% Democrats, 74% women, 64% independents), amid post-Roe momentum in the battleground state. Recent lawsuits filed in early May 2026 challenge ballot language as misleading on parental consent and safety standards, but lack of adverse rulings sustains high implied probabilities ahead of the voter referendum.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volume
$82
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, enshrining a fundamental right to reproductive decisions including abortion care while permitting third-trimester regulations for non-emergency cases, secured placement on the November 3, 2026 ballot after Democratic control of the General Assembly passed it in second reference during the January 2026 session, following initial approval in 2025. Trader consensus at 75% "Yes" reflects January Wason Center polling showing 66% overall support (91% Democrats, 74% women, 64% independents), amid post-Roe momentum in the battleground state. Recent lawsuits filed in early May 2026 challenge ballot language as misleading on parental consent and safety standards, but lack of adverse rulings sustains high implied probabilities ahead of the voter referendum.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volume
$82
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).

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« L'amendement de Virginie sur la protection contre l'avortement sera-t-il adopté ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « L'amendement sur la protection de l'avortement en Virginie sera-t-il adopté ? » à 73%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« L'amendement de Virginie sur la protection contre l'avortement sera-t-il adopté ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

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Le favori actuel pour « L'amendement de Virginie sur la protection contre l'avortement sera-t-il adopté ? » est « L'amendement sur la protection de l'avortement en Virginie sera-t-il adopté ? » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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