The near-certain trader consensus around a "No" outcome stems primarily from the jurisdictional reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, while Tiger Woods faces a state-level DUI charge in Florida following his March 2026 rollover crash. No federal indictment or investigation has materialized in the ensuing weeks, allowing the golfer to focus on recovery and his PGA Tour return without legal barriers at the national level. Recent public comments from President Trump have emphasized support for Woods' treatment and praised his resilience as a multiple major champion, yet these statements have not signaled any intent to pursue clemency. Realistic shifts could occur only if new federal charges unexpectedly arise before the June 30 deadline or if the underlying case is reclassified, though both remain highly improbable given the established facts and Woods' continued emphasis on his competitive schedule.