President Donald Trump has repeatedly voiced interest in acquiring Greenland through purchase or negotiation during his second term, alongside rhetorical comments on Canada, the Panama Canal, and most recently the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. operations against Iran in 2026. However, Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any sale, while ongoing diplomatic talks have produced no agreement on territorial transfer and face strong international legal and alliance constraints. Domestic polling shows broad opposition to military options, and no formal annexation process has advanced. Traders assign a 95% implied probability to “No” because statements alone do not meet the legal, political, or practical thresholds for incorporation by year-end, with existing defense arrangements and stalled negotiations leaving little room for completion in the remaining months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
5% chance
$154,915 Vol.
$154,915 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$154,915 Vol.
$154,915 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly voiced interest in acquiring Greenland through purchase or negotiation during his second term, alongside rhetorical comments on Canada, the Panama Canal, and most recently the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. operations against Iran in 2026. However, Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any sale, while ongoing diplomatic talks have produced no agreement on territorial transfer and face strong international legal and alliance constraints. Domestic polling shows broad opposition to military options, and no formal annexation process has advanced. Traders assign a 95% implied probability to “No” because statements alone do not meet the legal, political, or practical thresholds for incorporation by year-end, with existing defense arrangements and stalled negotiations leaving little room for completion in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$154,915Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly voiced interest in acquiring Greenland through purchase or negotiation during his second term, alongside rhetorical comments on Canada, the Panama Canal, and most recently the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. operations against Iran in 2026. However, Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any sale, while ongoing diplomatic talks have produced no agreement on territorial transfer and face strong international legal and alliance constraints. Domestic polling shows broad opposition to military options, and no formal annexation process has advanced. Traders assign a 95% implied probability to “No” because statements alone do not meet the legal, political, or practical thresholds for incorporation by year-end, with existing defense arrangements and stalled negotiations leaving little room for completion in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,915Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly voiced interest in acquiring Greenland through purchase or negotiation during his second term, alongside rhetorical comments on Canada, the Panama Canal, and most recently the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. operations against Iran in 2026. However, Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any sale, while ongoing diplomatic talks have produced no agreement on territorial transfer and face strong international legal and alliance constraints. Domestic polling shows broad opposition to military options, and no formal annexation process has advanced. Traders assign a 95% implied probability to “No” because statements alone do not meet the legal, political, or practical thresholds for incorporation by year-end, with existing defense arrangements and stalled negotiations leaving little room for completion in the remaining months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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