Recent Canadian employment gains of 75,100 jobs in July, well above forecasts, alongside softer U.S. payrolls have narrowed the BoC-Fed policy gap, supporting CAD strength and keeping USD/CAD near 1.387 as of August 17. With the Bank of Canada holding its overnight rate at 2.25% and the Fed maintaining a higher funds rate, traders monitor inflation releases and upcoming FOMC communications for shifts in rate-cut expectations. Supportive oil prices and potential BoC hike risks if energy remains elevated contrast with downside pressures from August 19 U.S. tariffs and USMCA trade uncertainty. Market-implied odds reflect these cross-currents, with volatility likely around 1.38–1.42 through year-end depending on labor data and monetary policy divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,231 Vol.
↑1,70
4%
↑1,60
19%
↑1,55
13%
↑1,50
51%
↑1,45
50%
↓1,33
49%
↓1,30
49%
↓1,25
48%
↓1,20
30%
↓1,10
33%
$14,231 Vol.
↑1,70
4%
↑1,60
19%
↑1,55
13%
↑1,50
51%
↑1,45
50%
↓1,33
49%
↓1,30
49%
↓1,25
48%
↓1,20
30%
↓1,10
33%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Canadian employment gains of 75,100 jobs in July, well above forecasts, alongside softer U.S. payrolls have narrowed the BoC-Fed policy gap, supporting CAD strength and keeping USD/CAD near 1.387 as of August 17. With the Bank of Canada holding its overnight rate at 2.25% and the Fed maintaining a higher funds rate, traders monitor inflation releases and upcoming FOMC communications for shifts in rate-cut expectations. Supportive oil prices and potential BoC hike risks if energy remains elevated contrast with downside pressures from August 19 U.S. tariffs and USMCA trade uncertainty. Market-implied odds reflect these cross-currents, with volatility likely around 1.38–1.42 through year-end depending on labor data and monetary policy divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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