Interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remain the dominant driver of USD/JPY positioning into 2026, with the Fed’s restrictive stance and recent hotter U.S. CPI prints reviving expectations for delayed or fewer rate cuts while the BOJ holds its policy rate at 0.75 percent and signals a potential hike at its June meeting. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments have further supported dollar strength by lifting U.S. inflation expectations and weighing on Japan’s energy-import-dependent economy. Recent yen interventions around the 160 handle underscore authorities’ sensitivity to excessive depreciation, yet persistent yield gaps and carry-trade flows continue to anchor trader consensus on elevated levels. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE releases, and the BOJ’s updated economic projections, all of which will shape revisions to the implied path of monetary policy divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$30,385 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑200
10%
↑190
12%
↑180
16%
↑175
18%
↑170
22%
↑165
44%
↓150
73%
↓140
22%
↓130
15%
↓120
8%
↓110
9%
$30,385 Vol.
↑200
$465 Vol.
10%
↑190
$11 Vol.
12%
↑180
$774 Vol.
16%
↑175
$773 Vol.
18%
↑170
$2,359 Vol.
22%
↑165
$5,560 Vol.
44%
↓150
$2,217 Vol.
73%
↓140
$681 Vol.
22%
↓130
$393 Vol.
15%
↓120
$8,199 Vol.
8%
↓110
$635 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remain the dominant driver of USD/JPY positioning into 2026, with the Fed’s restrictive stance and recent hotter U.S. CPI prints reviving expectations for delayed or fewer rate cuts while the BOJ holds its policy rate at 0.75 percent and signals a potential hike at its June meeting. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments have further supported dollar strength by lifting U.S. inflation expectations and weighing on Japan’s energy-import-dependent economy. Recent yen interventions around the 160 handle underscore authorities’ sensitivity to excessive depreciation, yet persistent yield gaps and carry-trade flows continue to anchor trader consensus on elevated levels. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE releases, and the BOJ’s updated economic projections, all of which will shape revisions to the implied path of monetary policy divergence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Volume
$30,385Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remain the dominant driver of USD/JPY positioning into 2026, with the Fed’s restrictive stance and recent hotter U.S. CPI prints reviving expectations for delayed or fewer rate cuts while the BOJ holds its policy rate at 0.75 percent and signals a potential hike at its June meeting. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments have further supported dollar strength by lifting U.S. inflation expectations and weighing on Japan’s energy-import-dependent economy. Recent yen interventions around the 160 handle underscore authorities’ sensitivity to excessive depreciation, yet persistent yield gaps and carry-trade flows continue to anchor trader consensus on elevated levels. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE releases, and the BOJ’s updated economic projections, all of which will shape revisions to the implied path of monetary policy divergence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Volume
$30,385Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remain the dominant driver of USD/JPY positioning into 2026, with the Fed’s restrictive stance and recent hotter U.S. CPI prints reviving expectations for delayed or fewer rate cuts while the BOJ holds its policy rate at 0.75 percent and signals a potential hike at its June meeting. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments have further supported dollar strength by lifting U.S. inflation expectations and weighing on Japan’s energy-import-dependent economy. Recent yen interventions around the 160 handle underscore authorities’ sensitivity to excessive depreciation, yet persistent yield gaps and carry-trade flows continue to anchor trader consensus on elevated levels. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE releases, and the BOJ’s updated economic projections, all of which will shape revisions to the implied path of monetary policy divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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