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icon for Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ?

Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ?

icon for Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ?

Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ?

9% chance
Polymarket

$136,506 Vol.

9% chance
Polymarket

$136,506 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Wildberries, Russia’s largest e-commerce platform by gross merchandise value, has faced significant operational and financial strain from Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses beginning in July 2026.** These attacks damaged or destroyed an estimated 20–43% of storage capacity across more than 20 facilities, resulting in direct losses exceeding 200 billion rubles for the company and hundreds of billions more for third-party sellers whose inventory was affected. The firm already carried substantial debt—approaching 1.3 trillion rubles by some estimates, largely from state-linked lender VTB—alongside negative cash flows and covenant breaches on loans, prompting payment delays to sellers amid separate DDoS incidents. **Despite these pressures, Russian authorities have signaled support measures, including tax deferrals for affected sellers, debt restructuring guidance from the Central Bank, and potential access to alternative logistics networks.** Wildberries has responded by shifting toward smaller partner warehouses, adjusting seller commissions, and pursuing operational adaptations rather than insolvency proceedings. Its scale—representing a meaningful share of national retail turnover—and ties to major financial institutions make outright bankruptcy politically and economically costly in the current environment. Traders therefore assign only a low probability to a formal bankruptcy announcement before 2027, viewing state-backed stabilization and ongoing business continuity as the dominant near-term path.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.

Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$136,506
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Wildberries, Russia’s largest e-commerce platform by gross merchandise value, has faced significant operational and financial strain from Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses beginning in July 2026.** These attacks damaged or destroyed an estimated 20–43% of storage capacity across more than 20 facilities, resulting in direct losses exceeding 200 billion rubles for the company and hundreds of billions more for third-party sellers whose inventory was affected. The firm already carried substantial debt—approaching 1.3 trillion rubles by some estimates, largely from state-linked lender VTB—alongside negative cash flows and covenant breaches on loans, prompting payment delays to sellers amid separate DDoS incidents. **Despite these pressures, Russian authorities have signaled support measures, including tax deferrals for affected sellers, debt restructuring guidance from the Central Bank, and potential access to alternative logistics networks.** Wildberries has responded by shifting toward smaller partner warehouses, adjusting seller commissions, and pursuing operational adaptations rather than insolvency proceedings. Its scale—representing a meaningful share of national retail turnover—and ties to major financial institutions make outright bankruptcy politically and economically costly in the current environment. Traders therefore assign only a low probability to a formal bankruptcy announcement before 2027, viewing state-backed stabilization and ongoing business continuity as the dominant near-term path.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.

Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$136,506
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 9% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 9¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 9% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ? » a généré $136.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ? » est de 9% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 9% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Wildberries annoncera-t-elle une faillite avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.