**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Tom Tiffany’s 19.5%, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in an open-seat contest following incumbent Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term.** Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 by narrowly defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong after briefly suspending his campaign and re-entering with Evers’ endorsement. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-to-late August shows Crowley leading or tied among likely and registered voters, supported by strong performance among independents and Milwaukee-area turnout potential. Tiffany, the Republican nominee and U.S. representative, won his primary decisively but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial elections. Key issues including affordability, data centers, and economic development continue to shape early general-election positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
$513,171 Vol.
$513,171 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$513,171 Vol.
$513,171 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$270,710 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,460 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Tom Tiffany’s 19.5%, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in an open-seat contest following incumbent Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term.** Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 by narrowly defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong after briefly suspending his campaign and re-entering with Evers’ endorsement. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-to-late August shows Crowley leading or tied among likely and registered voters, supported by strong performance among independents and Milwaukee-area turnout potential. Tiffany, the Republican nominee and U.S. representative, won his primary decisively but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial elections. Key issues including affordability, data centers, and economic development continue to shape early general-election positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$513,171Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Tom Tiffany’s 19.5%, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in an open-seat contest following incumbent Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term.** Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 by narrowly defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong after briefly suspending his campaign and re-entering with Evers’ endorsement. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-to-late August shows Crowley leading or tied among likely and registered voters, supported by strong performance among independents and Milwaukee-area turnout potential. Tiffany, the Republican nominee and U.S. representative, won his primary decisively but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial elections. Key issues including affordability, data centers, and economic development continue to shape early general-election positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$513,171Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Tom Tiffany’s 19.5%, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in an open-seat contest following incumbent Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term.** Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 by narrowly defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong after briefly suspending his campaign and re-entering with Evers’ endorsement. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-to-late August shows Crowley leading or tied among likely and registered voters, supported by strong performance among independents and Milwaukee-area turnout potential. Tiffany, the Republican nominee and U.S. representative, won his primary decisively but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial elections. Key issues including affordability, data centers, and economic development continue to shape early general-election positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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