The tightly bunched probabilities for World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced group featuring co-host USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia ahead of the June 12 opener. USA enters with home-soil advantage across Los Angeles, Seattle, and Santa Clara venues plus recent squad stability under Mauricio Pochettino, though mixed spring friendlies and a limited knockout history temper expectations. Türkiye's resurgence, marked by strong recent Nations League and qualifier results plus an experienced core, keeps it within striking distance of the top spot. Paraguay and Australia bring organized defenses and counter-attacking threats capable of producing upsets in a schedule that features back-to-back matchdays in mid-June, with all four sides holding realistic paths to advancement based on current form and head-to-head trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 39%
Turquie 35%
Paraguay 18%
Australie 9.4%
$320,423 Vol.
$320,423 Vol.
27 juin 2026
États-Unis
39%
Turquie
35%
Paraguay
18%
Australie
9%
États-Unis 39%
Turquie 35%
Paraguay 18%
Australie 9.4%
$320,423 Vol.
$320,423 Vol.
27 juin 2026
États-Unis
$76,846 Vol.
39%
Turquie
$146,998 Vol.
35%
Paraguay
$62,868 Vol.
18%
Australie
$33,711 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched probabilities for World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced group featuring co-host USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia ahead of the June 12 opener. USA enters with home-soil advantage across Los Angeles, Seattle, and Santa Clara venues plus recent squad stability under Mauricio Pochettino, though mixed spring friendlies and a limited knockout history temper expectations. Türkiye's resurgence, marked by strong recent Nations League and qualifier results plus an experienced core, keeps it within striking distance of the top spot. Paraguay and Australia bring organized defenses and counter-attacking threats capable of producing upsets in a schedule that features back-to-back matchdays in mid-June, with all four sides holding realistic paths to advancement based on current form and head-to-head trends.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$320,423Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched probabilities for World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced group featuring co-host USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia ahead of the June 12 opener. USA enters with home-soil advantage across Los Angeles, Seattle, and Santa Clara venues plus recent squad stability under Mauricio Pochettino, though mixed spring friendlies and a limited knockout history temper expectations. Türkiye's resurgence, marked by strong recent Nations League and qualifier results plus an experienced core, keeps it within striking distance of the top spot. Paraguay and Australia bring organized defenses and counter-attacking threats capable of producing upsets in a schedule that features back-to-back matchdays in mid-June, with all four sides holding realistic paths to advancement based on current form and head-to-head trends.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$320,423Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced group featuring co-host USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia ahead of the June 12 opener. USA enters with home-soil advantage across Los Angeles, Seattle, and Santa Clara venues plus recent squad stability under Mauricio Pochettino, though mixed spring friendlies and a limited knockout history temper expectations. Türkiye's resurgence, marked by strong recent Nations League and qualifier results plus an experienced core, keeps it within striking distance of the top spot. Paraguay and Australia bring organized defenses and counter-attacking threats capable of producing upsets in a schedule that features back-to-back matchdays in mid-June, with all four sides holding realistic paths to advancement based on current form and head-to-head trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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