The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup creates 104 matches, nearly 40 more than the 64-game 2022 edition, directly boosting expected totals even at conservative scoring rates. Recent tournaments have averaged 2.6–2.7 goals per game amid attacking tactics and open play, projecting 270–280 goals overall if trends hold, comfortably above the 264.5 line. Historical data shows even lower-output World Cups like 1990 would still clear this threshold across the larger schedule, while factors such as group-stage mismatches and knockout-stage dynamics further support elevated scoring. Trader consensus at 80.5% on the over reflects this structural increase in opportunities combined with modern football's emphasis on possession and pressing.