Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-leaders in trader consensus, reflecting their status as pre-tournament favorites entering the expanded 48-team field hosted across North America. Spain’s edge stems from Euro 2024 success and a dynamic squad featuring young talents, while France counters with exceptional depth and experience under Didier Deschamps. England follows closely on the back of consistent major-tournament runs and strong qualification form. The bunched probabilities highlight a competitive landscape where multiple European sides possess realistic paths through group stages and knockouts, with Argentina and Brazil providing South American counterbalance amid the tournament’s increased unpredictability and schedule demands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 16.4%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.4%
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
Espagne
16%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 16.4%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.4%
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
Espagne
16%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-leaders in trader consensus, reflecting their status as pre-tournament favorites entering the expanded 48-team field hosted across North America. Spain’s edge stems from Euro 2024 success and a dynamic squad featuring young talents, while France counters with exceptional depth and experience under Didier Deschamps. England follows closely on the back of consistent major-tournament runs and strong qualification form. The bunched probabilities highlight a competitive landscape where multiple European sides possess realistic paths through group stages and knockouts, with Argentina and Brazil providing South American counterbalance amid the tournament’s increased unpredictability and schedule demands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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