Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 16.9%
France 16.1%
Portugal 10.9%
Angleterre 10.8%
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
Espagne
17%
France
16%
Portugal
11%
Angleterre
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 16.9%
France 16.1%
Portugal 10.9%
Angleterre 10.8%
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
Espagne
$37,126,792 Vol.
17%
France
$43,707,536 Vol.
16%
Portugal
$38,845,741 Vol.
11%
Angleterre
$32,199,629 Vol.
11%
Argentine
$34,475,954 Vol.
9%
Brésil
$33,798,614 Vol.
8%
Allemagne
$35,518,523 Vol.
5%
Pays-Bas
$38,139,433 Vol.
4%
Norvège
$36,860,862 Vol.
2%
Belgique
$39,830,459 Vol.
2%
Colombie
$39,395,750 Vol.
2%
Japon
$39,789,056 Vol.
2%
Maroc
$43,624,729 Vol.
2%
Mexique
$43,543,671 Vol.
1%
Suisse
$38,497,357 Vol.
1%
Turquie
$36,723,944 Vol.
1%
États-Unis
$56,317,775 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$39,175,747 Vol.
1%
Croatie
$44,682,645 Vol.
1%
Équateur
$44,579,716 Vol.
1%
Sénégal
$38,510,454 Vol.
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
$52,290,417 Vol.
<1%
Autriche
$42,921,550 Vol.
<1%
Canada
$43,884,656 Vol.
<1%
Suède
$29,548,239 Vol.
<1%
Corée du Sud
$48,081,894 Vol.
<1%
Écosse
$42,046,583 Vol.
<1%
Égypte
$50,956,474 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$44,297,327 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$36,644,434 Vol.
<1%
Algérie
$44,474,990 Vol.
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
$27,598,705 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$41,781,598 Vol.
<1%
RD Congo
$57,480,010 Vol.
<1%
Tchéquie
$30,816,313 Vol.
<1%
Australie
$45,893,072 Vol.
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
$45,473,807 Vol.
<1%
Haïti
$32,022,191 Vol.
<1%
Jordanie
$31,607,892 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$41,613,224 Vol.
<1%
Tunisie
$35,503,084 Vol.
<1%
Ouzbékistan
$59,655,927 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$19,348,383 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$28,864,643 Vol.
<1%
Afrique du Sud
$38,231,045 Vol.
<1%
Cape Verde
$40,166,103 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$41,894,617 Vol.
<1%
Arabie saoudite
$47,594,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,940,590,071Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,940,590,071Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes