Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as narrow co-leaders because both enter with elite squad depth, proven tournament pedigree, and favorable recent form. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and consistent possession-dominant qualifying campaign underpin its slim edge, while France’s unmatched roster talent—anchored by Kylian Mbappé and bolstered across every position—keeps it within a point. Portugal, England, and defending champion Argentina remain tightly bunched behind them on the strength of star quality and historical knockout resilience. With the expanded 48-team field and the tournament opening June 11 across North America, minor shifts in fitness, early-group results, or injuries could quickly reorder the tight European-heavy consensus reflected in current pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Portugal 11.3%
Angleterre 10.8%
$1,946,731,702 Vol.
$1,946,731,702 Vol.

Espagne
17%

France
16%

Portugal
11%

Angleterre
11%

Argentine
9%

Brésil
8%

Allemagne
5%

Pays-Bas
4%

Norvège
2%

Belgique
2%

Colombie
2%

Japon
2%

Maroc
2%

Mexique
1%

Suisse
1%

Turquie
1%

États-Unis
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croatie
1%

Équateur
1%

Sénégal
1%

Côte d'Ivoire
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Canada
<1%

Suède
<1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Écosse
<1%

Égypte
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algérie
<1%

Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Tchéquie
<1%

Australie
<1%

Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%

Haïti
<1%

Jordanie
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunisie
<1%

Ouzbékistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrique du Sud
<1%

Cape Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Portugal 11.3%
Angleterre 10.8%
$1,946,731,702 Vol.
$1,946,731,702 Vol.

Espagne
17%

France
16%

Portugal
11%

Angleterre
11%

Argentine
9%

Brésil
8%

Allemagne
5%

Pays-Bas
4%

Norvège
2%

Belgique
2%

Colombie
2%

Japon
2%

Maroc
2%

Mexique
1%

Suisse
1%

Turquie
1%

États-Unis
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croatie
1%

Équateur
1%

Sénégal
1%

Côte d'Ivoire
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Canada
<1%

Suède
<1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Écosse
<1%

Égypte
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algérie
<1%

Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Tchéquie
<1%

Australie
<1%

Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%

Haïti
<1%

Jordanie
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunisie
<1%

Ouzbékistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrique du Sud
<1%

Cape Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as narrow co-leaders because both enter with elite squad depth, proven tournament pedigree, and favorable recent form. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and consistent possession-dominant qualifying campaign underpin its slim edge, while France’s unmatched roster talent—anchored by Kylian Mbappé and bolstered across every position—keeps it within a point. Portugal, England, and defending champion Argentina remain tightly bunched behind them on the strength of star quality and historical knockout resilience. With the expanded 48-team field and the tournament opening June 11 across North America, minor shifts in fitness, early-group results, or injuries could quickly reorder the tight European-heavy consensus reflected in current pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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