Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites because both enter with recent major-tournament pedigree and exceptional squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph showcased balanced attacking play and defensive organization under Luis de la Fuente, while France’s talent pool—anchored by experienced leaders and versatile options—supports consistent knockout progression. England, Portugal, and defending champion Argentina follow closely, each bolstered by proven match-winners and favorable group draws. The expanded 48-team format and spread of elite European and South American sides create multiple realistic paths to the final at MetLife Stadium, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered among the top contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 16.4%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,938,467,713 Vol.
$1,938,467,713 Vol.
Espagne
16%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
États-Unis
1%
Turquie
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 16.4%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,938,467,713 Vol.
$1,938,467,713 Vol.
Espagne
16%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
États-Unis
1%
Turquie
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites because both enter with recent major-tournament pedigree and exceptional squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph showcased balanced attacking play and defensive organization under Luis de la Fuente, while France’s talent pool—anchored by experienced leaders and versatile options—supports consistent knockout progression. England, Portugal, and defending champion Argentina follow closely, each bolstered by proven match-winners and favorable group draws. The expanded 48-team format and spread of elite European and South American sides create multiple realistic paths to the final at MetLife Stadium, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered among the top contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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