Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.5% for no divorce by Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by the complete absence of credible reports, official announcements, or state media indications of marital discord between Xi and Peng Liyuan. Recent public appearances, including their joint farewell to Vietnamese leader To Lam on April 15, 2026, underscore their stable partnership, consistent with CCP norms prioritizing leaders' personal stability amid Xi's consolidated power as paramount leader. No developments in the past 30 days suggest otherwise, reinforcing skin-in-the-game pricing. While extraordinary scenarios like a sudden political purge, health crisis, or leaked scandal could shift odds, such events face immense institutional barriers in China's tightly controlled information environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$85,137 Vol.
$85,137 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$85,137 Vol.
$85,137 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.5% for no divorce by Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by the complete absence of credible reports, official announcements, or state media indications of marital discord between Xi and Peng Liyuan. Recent public appearances, including their joint farewell to Vietnamese leader To Lam on April 15, 2026, underscore their stable partnership, consistent with CCP norms prioritizing leaders' personal stability amid Xi's consolidated power as paramount leader. No developments in the past 30 days suggest otherwise, reinforcing skin-in-the-game pricing. While extraordinary scenarios like a sudden political purge, health crisis, or leaked scandal could shift odds, such events face immense institutional barriers in China's tightly controlled information environment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Marché ouvert : Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$85,137Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.5% for no divorce by Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by the complete absence of credible reports, official announcements, or state media indications of marital discord between Xi and Peng Liyuan. Recent public appearances, including their joint farewell to Vietnamese leader To Lam on April 15, 2026, underscore their stable partnership, consistent with CCP norms prioritizing leaders' personal stability amid Xi's consolidated power as paramount leader. No developments in the past 30 days suggest otherwise, reinforcing skin-in-the-game pricing. While extraordinary scenarios like a sudden political purge, health crisis, or leaked scandal could shift odds, such events face immense institutional barriers in China's tightly controlled information environment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$85,137Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.5% for no divorce by Xi Jinping before 2027, driven by the complete absence of credible reports, official announcements, or state media indications of marital discord between Xi and Peng Liyuan. Recent public appearances, including their joint farewell to Vietnamese leader To Lam on April 15, 2026, underscore their stable partnership, consistent with CCP norms prioritizing leaders' personal stability amid Xi's consolidated power as paramount leader. No developments in the past 30 days suggest otherwise, reinforcing skin-in-the-game pricing. While extraordinary scenarios like a sudden political purge, health crisis, or leaked scandal could shift odds, such events face immense institutional barriers in China's tightly controlled information environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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