Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$102,876 Vol.
$102,876 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
$102,876 Vol.
$102,876 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Marché ouvert : Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$102,876Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$102,876Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes