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Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Chang Chia-chun

Chang Chia-chun

$844 Vol.

84%

icon for Liu Chien-kuo

Liu Chien-kuo

$362 Vol.

14%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT's March 2026 nomination of legislator Chang Chia-chun for the Yunlin County magistrate race, leveraging the party's local organizational strength and the longstanding influence of the Chang family network in the county, has established her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo serves as the main opposition candidate in a county that has leaned toward the ruling party in recent cycles but shows signs of shifting competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing indicates limited room for late swings absent major campaign developments, candidate withdrawals, or significant polling shifts between now and voting day. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to alter this positioning.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,206
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT's March 2026 nomination of legislator Chang Chia-chun for the Yunlin County magistrate race, leveraging the party's local organizational strength and the longstanding influence of the Chang family network in the county, has established her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo serves as the main opposition candidate in a county that has leaned toward the ruling party in recent cycles but shows signs of shifting competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing indicates limited room for late swings absent major campaign developments, candidate withdrawals, or significant polling shifts between now and voting day. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to alter this positioning.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,206
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Lin Kuo-chang remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan ?

Lin Kuo-chang remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan ?

56%
Oui
icon for Hsu Hsin-ying va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection pour le magistrat du comté de Hsinchu ?

Hsu Hsin-ying va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection pour le magistrat du comté de Hsinchu ?

86%
Oui
icon for Chung Tung-chin remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Miaoli ?

Chung Tung-chin remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Miaoli ?

89%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chang Chia-chun » à 84%, suivi de « Liu Chien-kuo » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 84¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin » est « Chang Chia-chun » à 84%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Liu Chien-kuo » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yunlin » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.