Traders assign the highest probability to 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13, 2026, presidential first round, reflecting the country’s historical average near 57% and a certified voter roll of 8.78 million following extended registration. Economic pressures and subdued campaign enthusiasm have raised concerns about possible apathy, particularly among opposition supporters, while strong youth registration and public confidence in electoral processes provide counterbalancing support for moderate participation. The three-month official campaign window that began in May offers limited time for mobilization efforts that could shift engagement levels before polling day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection présidentielle zambienne 1er tour : participation
Élection présidentielle zambienne 1er tour : participation
50-60 % 40%
60-70 % 21%
70-80 % 17%
<50 % 13%
$15,145 Vol.
$15,145 Vol.
14 août 2026
<50 %
13%
50-60 %
40%
60-70 %
21%
70-80 %
17%
80 %+
9%
50-60 % 40%
60-70 % 21%
70-80 % 17%
<50 % 13%
$15,145 Vol.
$15,145 Vol.
14 août 2026
<50 %
$3,215 Vol.
13%
50-60 %
$2,573 Vol.
40%
60-70 %
$5,491 Vol.
21%
70-80 %
$1,185 Vol.
17%
80 %+
$2,681 Vol.
9%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Traders assign the highest probability to 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13, 2026, presidential first round, reflecting the country’s historical average near 57% and a certified voter roll of 8.78 million following extended registration. Economic pressures and subdued campaign enthusiasm have raised concerns about possible apathy, particularly among opposition supporters, while strong youth registration and public confidence in electoral processes provide counterbalancing support for moderate participation. The three-month official campaign window that began in May offers limited time for mobilization efforts that could shift engagement levels before polling day.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$15,145Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Traders assign the highest probability to 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13, 2026, presidential first round, reflecting the country’s historical average near 57% and a certified voter roll of 8.78 million following extended registration. Economic pressures and subdued campaign enthusiasm have raised concerns about possible apathy, particularly among opposition supporters, while strong youth registration and public confidence in electoral processes provide counterbalancing support for moderate participation. The three-month official campaign window that began in May offers limited time for mobilization efforts that could shift engagement levels before polling day.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$15,145Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13, 2026, presidential first round, reflecting the country’s historical average near 57% and a certified voter roll of 8.78 million following extended registration. Economic pressures and subdued campaign enthusiasm have raised concerns about possible apathy, particularly among opposition supporters, while strong youth registration and public confidence in electoral processes provide counterbalancing support for moderate participation. The three-month official campaign window that began in May offers limited time for mobilization efforts that could shift engagement levels before polling day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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