China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission and a key ally of President Xi Jinping, is under investigation for serious violations of party discipline and law amid an intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army. This purge, the highest-profile to date, removed him from public view, but four months later, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been disclosed, fueling trader consensus at 88% against a prison sentence before 2027. Recent sentencings of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe to death with reprieve on May 7 highlight the campaign's momentum, yet Zhang's princeling status and the opacity of proceedings for top CMC figures suggest prolonged uncertainty or non-public resolution, with his age (75) adding further unpredictability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$123,133 Vol.
$123,133 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$123,133 Vol.
$123,133 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission and a key ally of President Xi Jinping, is under investigation for serious violations of party discipline and law amid an intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army. This purge, the highest-profile to date, removed him from public view, but four months later, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been disclosed, fueling trader consensus at 88% against a prison sentence before 2027. Recent sentencings of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe to death with reprieve on May 7 highlight the campaign's momentum, yet Zhang's princeling status and the opacity of proceedings for top CMC figures suggest prolonged uncertainty or non-public resolution, with his age (75) adding further unpredictability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volume
$123,133Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission and a key ally of President Xi Jinping, is under investigation for serious violations of party discipline and law amid an intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army. This purge, the highest-profile to date, removed him from public view, but four months later, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been disclosed, fueling trader consensus at 88% against a prison sentence before 2027. Recent sentencings of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe to death with reprieve on May 7 highlight the campaign's momentum, yet Zhang's princeling status and the opacity of proceedings for top CMC figures suggest prolonged uncertainty or non-public resolution, with his age (75) adding further unpredictability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,133Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission and a key ally of President Xi Jinping, is under investigation for serious violations of party discipline and law amid an intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army. This purge, the highest-profile to date, removed him from public view, but four months later, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been disclosed, fueling trader consensus at 88% against a prison sentence before 2027. Recent sentencings of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe to death with reprieve on May 7 highlight the campaign's momentum, yet Zhang's princeling status and the opacity of proceedings for top CMC figures suggest prolonged uncertainty or non-public resolution, with his age (75) adding further unpredictability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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