With six months remaining until the 2026 midterm elections, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed narrow margins for the national House popular vote, underscoring persistent uncertainty at this stage of the cycle. Recent generic ballot surveys, including Ipsos/Reuters and Economist/YouGov polls from early May, show Democrats holding a modest lead of three to six points, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to face headwinds. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia, Tennessee, and Missouri have altered district lines, potentially affecting the translation of national vote share into seats. President Trump's approval ratings near 45 percent and ongoing primary contests within both parties add further variables, while Republican strengths on issues like border security continue to support competitive positioning. These factors keep the exact margin fluid ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 मिडटर्म: हाउस पॉपुलर वोट मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री
2026 मिडटर्म: हाउस पॉपुलर वोट मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री
डेमोक्रेट्स 8-10% 16%
डेमोक्रेट्स 10-12% 13%
रिपब्लिकन 0-2% 10.2%
डेमोक्रेट्स 6-8% 10%
$34,848 वॉल्यूम
$34,848 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट्स 16%+
3%
डेमोक्रेट्स 14-16%
4%
डेमोक्रेट्स 12-14%
4%
डेमोक्रेट्स 10-12%
13%
डेमोक्रेट्स 8-10%
16%
डेमोक्रेट्स 6-8%
10%
डेमोक्रेट्स 4-6%
7%
डेमोक्रेट्स 2-4%
4%
डेमोक्रेट्स 0-2%
5%
रिपब्लिकन 0-2%
10%
रिपब्लिकन 2-4%
8%
रिपब्लिकन 4-6%
2%
रिपब्लिकन 6%+
3%
डेमोक्रेट्स 8-10% 16%
डेमोक्रेट्स 10-12% 13%
रिपब्लिकन 0-2% 10.2%
डेमोक्रेट्स 6-8% 10%
$34,848 वॉल्यूम
$34,848 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट्स 16%+
$804 वॉल्यूम
3%
डेमोक्रेट्स 14-16%
$476 वॉल्यूम
4%
डेमोक्रेट्स 12-14%
$462 वॉल्यूम
4%
डेमोक्रेट्स 10-12%
$830 वॉल्यूम
13%
डेमोक्रेट्स 8-10%
$1,555 वॉल्यूम
16%
डेमोक्रेट्स 6-8%
$693 वॉल्यूम
10%
डेमोक्रेट्स 4-6%
$258 वॉल्यूम
7%
डेमोक्रेट्स 2-4%
$1,012 वॉल्यूम
4%
डेमोक्रेट्स 0-2%
$889 वॉल्यूम
5%
रिपब्लिकन 0-2%
$864 वॉल्यूम
10%
रिपब्लिकन 2-4%
$26,019 वॉल्यूम
8%
रिपब्लिकन 4-6%
$230 वॉल्यूम
2%
रिपब्लिकन 6%+
$757 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.With six months remaining until the 2026 midterm elections, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed narrow margins for the national House popular vote, underscoring persistent uncertainty at this stage of the cycle. Recent generic ballot surveys, including Ipsos/Reuters and Economist/YouGov polls from early May, show Democrats holding a modest lead of three to six points, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to face headwinds. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia, Tennessee, and Missouri have altered district lines, potentially affecting the translation of national vote share into seats. President Trump's approval ratings near 45 percent and ongoing primary contests within both parties add further variables, while Republican strengths on issues like border security continue to support competitive positioning. These factors keep the exact margin fluid ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,848समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.With six months remaining until the 2026 midterm elections, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed narrow margins for the national House popular vote, underscoring persistent uncertainty at this stage of the cycle. Recent generic ballot surveys, including Ipsos/Reuters and Economist/YouGov polls from early May, show Democrats holding a modest lead of three to six points, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to face headwinds. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia, Tennessee, and Missouri have altered district lines, potentially affecting the translation of national vote share into seats. President Trump's approval ratings near 45 percent and ongoing primary contests within both parties add further variables, while Republican strengths on issues like border security continue to support competitive positioning. These factors keep the exact margin fluid ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$34,848समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With six months remaining until the 2026 midterm elections, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed narrow margins for the national House popular vote, underscoring persistent uncertainty at this stage of the cycle. Recent generic ballot surveys, including Ipsos/Reuters and Economist/YouGov polls from early May, show Democrats holding a modest lead of three to six points, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to face headwinds. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia, Tennessee, and Missouri have altered district lines, potentially affecting the translation of national vote share into seats. President Trump's approval ratings near 45 percent and ongoing primary contests within both parties add further variables, while Republican strengths on issues like border security continue to support competitive positioning. These factors keep the exact margin fluid ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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