Manchester City’s perfect five-win start under new manager Enzo Maresca, featuring Erling Haaland’s continued scoring and strong attacking contributions from players like Rayan Cherki and Antoine Semenyo, has elevated trader expectations for a second-place finish despite the post-Guardiola transition. Arsenal, the defending 2025-26 champions under Mikel Arteta, remain the consensus title favorites after a strong opening but saw probabilities adjust following their recent defeat at Brighton that ended an early unbeaten run. Chelsea under Xabi Alonso, Liverpool under Andoni Iraola, and Manchester United under Michael Carrick show mixed early results with notable draws and defensive issues, while Brentford and Brighton’s impressive form supports their lower but competitive implied chances in the crowded race for runner-up.