The Partido Popular maintains overwhelming trader consensus to win the Andalusian regional election due to sustained polling leads of roughly 20 points over PSOE-A, with projections placing PP near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold in the 109-seat parliament. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla's administration has benefited from steady regional economic performance and voter approval of its governance record since 2019. Recent surveys from firms including 40dB, SocioMétrica, and SigmaDos confirm this dominance heading into the May 17 vote, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero faces historic weakness amid internal challenges and lower turnout expectations among its base. Late shifts in participation or minor last-minute developments remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though current data shows limited scope for such reversals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPP 99.9%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$169,883 वॉल्यूम
$169,883 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
PP
100%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.9%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$169,883 वॉल्यूम
$169,883 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
PP
$60,445 वॉल्यूम
100%
PSOE-A
$63,033 वॉल्यूम
<1%
VOX
$36,234 वॉल्यूम
<1%
PA
$5,745 वॉल्यूम
<1%
AA
$4,426 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The Partido Popular maintains overwhelming trader consensus to win the Andalusian regional election due to sustained polling leads of roughly 20 points over PSOE-A, with projections placing PP near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold in the 109-seat parliament. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla's administration has benefited from steady regional economic performance and voter approval of its governance record since 2019. Recent surveys from firms including 40dB, SocioMétrica, and SigmaDos confirm this dominance heading into the May 17 vote, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero faces historic weakness amid internal challenges and lower turnout expectations among its base. Late shifts in participation or minor last-minute developments remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though current data shows limited scope for such reversals.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$169,883समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The Partido Popular maintains overwhelming trader consensus to win the Andalusian regional election due to sustained polling leads of roughly 20 points over PSOE-A, with projections placing PP near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold in the 109-seat parliament. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla's administration has benefited from steady regional economic performance and voter approval of its governance record since 2019. Recent surveys from firms including 40dB, SocioMétrica, and SigmaDos confirm this dominance heading into the May 17 vote, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero faces historic weakness amid internal challenges and lower turnout expectations among its base. Late shifts in participation or minor last-minute developments remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though current data shows limited scope for such reversals.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
वॉल्यूम
$169,883समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Partido Popular maintains overwhelming trader consensus to win the Andalusian regional election due to sustained polling leads of roughly 20 points over PSOE-A, with projections placing PP near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold in the 109-seat parliament. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla's administration has benefited from steady regional economic performance and voter approval of its governance record since 2019. Recent surveys from firms including 40dB, SocioMétrica, and SigmaDos confirm this dominance heading into the May 17 vote, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero faces historic weakness amid internal challenges and lower turnout expectations among its base. Late shifts in participation or minor last-minute developments remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though current data shows limited scope for such reversals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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