**António Guterres will complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal succession process already advanced.** The Security Council conducted its second non-binding straw poll on 21 August 2026, showing Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett leading with eight “encourage” votes ahead of other declared candidates including Rebeca Grynspan and Rafael Grossi. Interactive dialogues and town halls with nominees occurred earlier in 2026, and the Council is expected to recommend a successor to the General Assembly later this year for a term beginning 1 January 2027. No official statements, votes, or credible reports indicate early resignation, removal, or extension beyond the scheduled end date. Guterres has continued routine duties, including recent comments on global issues and UN finances, without signaling any departure before term’s end. Historical precedent reinforces this: no Secretary-General has served more than two terms. Trader consensus at 78% “No” aligns with the predictable timeline and lack of disruptive political developments that would alter the January 2027 transition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
António Guterres out by December 31?
21% संभावना
नया
नया
30 दिस, 2026
21% संभावना
नया
नया
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**António Guterres will complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal succession process already advanced.** The Security Council conducted its second non-binding straw poll on 21 August 2026, showing Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett leading with eight “encourage” votes ahead of other declared candidates including Rebeca Grynspan and Rafael Grossi. Interactive dialogues and town halls with nominees occurred earlier in 2026, and the Council is expected to recommend a successor to the General Assembly later this year for a term beginning 1 January 2027.
No official statements, votes, or credible reports indicate early resignation, removal, or extension beyond the scheduled end date. Guterres has continued routine duties, including recent comments on global issues and UN finances, without signaling any departure before term’s end. Historical precedent reinforces this: no Secretary-General has served more than two terms. Trader consensus at 78% “No” aligns with the predictable timeline and lack of disruptive political developments that would alter the January 2027 transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,213समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**António Guterres will complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal succession process already advanced.** The Security Council conducted its second non-binding straw poll on 21 August 2026, showing Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett leading with eight “encourage” votes ahead of other declared candidates including Rebeca Grynspan and Rafael Grossi. Interactive dialogues and town halls with nominees occurred earlier in 2026, and the Council is expected to recommend a successor to the General Assembly later this year for a term beginning 1 January 2027.
No official statements, votes, or credible reports indicate early resignation, removal, or extension beyond the scheduled end date. Guterres has continued routine duties, including recent comments on global issues and UN finances, without signaling any departure before term’s end. Historical precedent reinforces this: no Secretary-General has served more than two terms. Trader consensus at 78% “No” aligns with the predictable timeline and lack of disruptive political developments that would alter the January 2027 transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,213समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**António Guterres will complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on 31 December 2026, with the formal succession process already advanced.** The Security Council conducted its second non-binding straw poll on 21 August 2026, showing Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett leading with eight “encourage” votes ahead of other declared candidates including Rebeca Grynspan and Rafael Grossi. Interactive dialogues and town halls with nominees occurred earlier in 2026, and the Council is expected to recommend a successor to the General Assembly later this year for a term beginning 1 January 2027. No official statements, votes, or credible reports indicate early resignation, removal, or extension beyond the scheduled end date. Guterres has continued routine duties, including recent comments on global issues and UN finances, without signaling any departure before term’s end. Historical precedent reinforces this: no Secretary-General has served more than two terms. Trader consensus at 78% “No” aligns with the predictable timeline and lack of disruptive political developments that would alter the January 2027 transition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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