Chapecoense sits at the bottom of the 2026 Brasileirão table with just 14 points from 23 matches and a -22 goal difference, leaving it with over 95% modeled relegation probability after a dismal campaign marked by defensive collapses. Remo, Mirassol, Internacional, and Vasco da Gama occupy the next positions on 23–25 points with roughly 40–65% risk each, separated by narrow margins as the season enters its final 13 rounds. Recent results have hurt Vasco after a 4-1 defeat to Palmeiras, while Internacional’s draw-heavy form and Remo’s inconsistent attack keep them vulnerable. Upper-table sides like Grêmio and Santos hover just above the drop zone, where remaining fixtures against stronger opponents and any late injuries could shift the battle.