Sean Combs is serving a 50-month federal sentence imposed in October 2025 after his July conviction on two Mann Act counts tied to transporting individuals for prostitution, with acquittals on the more serious racketeering and sex-trafficking charges. Bureau of Prisons records currently project a March 2, 2028 release from his low-security facility, recently adjusted later due to reports of contraband use, special treatment from inmates, and disciplinary incidents including fights and a head injury that prompted a transfer. His appeal remains pending without any rulings suggesting early relief, while civil litigation continues separately. These factors anchor trader consensus around the strong “No” odds, as the timeline and conduct issues make a 2026 release highly improbable absent extraordinary intervention.