**Regional containment and Ebola's transmission biology explain the 96.3% market-implied probability of no pandemic in 2026.** The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak, centered in northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited spread into Uganda, has produced thousands of confirmed cases and roughly 2,000 deaths as of mid-August but remains geographically focused. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC classify the global risk as very low because the virus spreads only through direct contact with infected bodily fluids, not airborne routes, enabling effective isolation, contact tracing, and border measures to limit international exportation. Historical patterns show even larger Ebola epidemics stayed regionally contained. While sustained local growth or rare imported cases could occur, no evidence indicates conditions for worldwide dissemination before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% संभावना
$691,779 वॉल्यूम
$691,779 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4% संभावना
$691,779 वॉल्यूम
$691,779 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Regional containment and Ebola's transmission biology explain the 96.3% market-implied probability of no pandemic in 2026.** The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak, centered in northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited spread into Uganda, has produced thousands of confirmed cases and roughly 2,000 deaths as of mid-August but remains geographically focused. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC classify the global risk as very low because the virus spreads only through direct contact with infected bodily fluids, not airborne routes, enabling effective isolation, contact tracing, and border measures to limit international exportation. Historical patterns show even larger Ebola epidemics stayed regionally contained. While sustained local growth or rare imported cases could occur, no evidence indicates conditions for worldwide dissemination before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$691,779समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Regional containment and Ebola's transmission biology explain the 96.3% market-implied probability of no pandemic in 2026.** The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak, centered in northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited spread into Uganda, has produced thousands of confirmed cases and roughly 2,000 deaths as of mid-August but remains geographically focused. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC classify the global risk as very low because the virus spreads only through direct contact with infected bodily fluids, not airborne routes, enabling effective isolation, contact tracing, and border measures to limit international exportation. Historical patterns show even larger Ebola epidemics stayed regionally contained. While sustained local growth or rare imported cases could occur, no evidence indicates conditions for worldwide dissemination before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$691,779समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Regional containment and Ebola's transmission biology explain the 96.3% market-implied probability of no pandemic in 2026.** The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak, centered in northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited spread into Uganda, has produced thousands of confirmed cases and roughly 2,000 deaths as of mid-August but remains geographically focused. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC classify the global risk as very low because the virus spreads only through direct contact with infected bodily fluids, not airborne routes, enabling effective isolation, contact tracing, and border measures to limit international exportation. Historical patterns show even larger Ebola epidemics stayed regionally contained. While sustained local growth or rare imported cases could occur, no evidence indicates conditions for worldwide dissemination before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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