Australia leads the jury vote market at 57% implied probability thanks to Delta Goodrem’s polished, radio-friendly entry “Eclipse,” which aligns with traditional jury preferences for strong vocals, production, and songcraft. Finland sits second at 22% with its more theatrical “Liekinheitin,” viewed as a televote powerhouse that may split jury support. Recent national final results, running-order announcements, and semifinal performances have reinforced these dynamics, as traders factor in historical jury patterns favoring established artists over experimental acts. With the grand final underway on May 16, any late shifts in critical buzz or staging execution could still influence the final tally before voting closes.