The contained May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard a single expedition cruise ship—with roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—drives the 96.4% market-implied probability of no 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC rate global risk as low because Andes virus transmission requires prolonged close contact, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and no sustained community spread has occurred despite contact tracing and monitoring of exposed travelers. Historical U.S. data show sporadic rodent-borne cases without pandemic potential, while current epidemiological indicators confirm limited chains of infection. Continued surveillance through public health agencies could detect any rare escalation, such as unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility, though present conditions make that outcome improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में हंटावायरस महामारी?
2026 में हंटावायरस महामारी?
हाँ
4% संभावना
$17,852,815 वॉल्यूम
$17,852,815 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$17,852,815 वॉल्यूम
$17,852,815 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The contained May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard a single expedition cruise ship—with roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—drives the 96.4% market-implied probability of no 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC rate global risk as low because Andes virus transmission requires prolonged close contact, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and no sustained community spread has occurred despite contact tracing and monitoring of exposed travelers. Historical U.S. data show sporadic rodent-borne cases without pandemic potential, while current epidemiological indicators confirm limited chains of infection. Continued surveillance through public health agencies could detect any rare escalation, such as unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility, though present conditions make that outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,852,815समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The contained May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard a single expedition cruise ship—with roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—drives the 96.4% market-implied probability of no 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC rate global risk as low because Andes virus transmission requires prolonged close contact, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and no sustained community spread has occurred despite contact tracing and monitoring of exposed travelers. Historical U.S. data show sporadic rodent-borne cases without pandemic potential, while current epidemiological indicators confirm limited chains of infection. Continued surveillance through public health agencies could detect any rare escalation, such as unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility, though present conditions make that outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$17,852,815समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The contained May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard a single expedition cruise ship—with roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—drives the 96.4% market-implied probability of no 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and CDC rate global risk as low because Andes virus transmission requires prolonged close contact, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and no sustained community spread has occurred despite contact tracing and monitoring of exposed travelers. Historical U.S. data show sporadic rodent-borne cases without pandemic potential, while current epidemiological indicators confirm limited chains of infection. Continued surveillance through public health agencies could detect any rare escalation, such as unexpected mutation enhancing transmissibility, though present conditions make that outcome improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न